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Economists Survey Raises 2021 CPI Forecast To 4.9%

MNI Survey Of China Economic Forecasts

     BEIJING (MNI) - All figures y/y percentage change unless otherwise
specified 
                                  New Loans        TSF
                              M2        Nov        Nov
                         End-Nov  (CNY Bln)  (CNY Bln)
------------------------------------------------------
Median                       8.9      800.0     1290.0
High                         9.2        979       1847
Low                          8.7      660.0      900.0
Mean                         8.9      814.9     1299.4
No.                           19         20         13
Previous                     8.8      663.2       1040
ANZ                           na         na         na
BAML                         9.0      800.0     1400.0
Bank of Comm                 9.1        850         na
CICC                         9.0    800-850  1000-1100
Guohai Sec                    na      850.0         na
Guotai Junan Securities      8.7      750.0      900.0
HSBC                         9.2        800       1067
Huachuang Sec                8.9        800         na
Huatai Sec                   9.0        900       1500
Industrial Bank              8.9        800       1250
ING                          9.0        795         na
Merchants Sec                9.0        660        900
Minsheng Research            9.0        800         na
Mizuho                       8.9        750
Moody's                       na         na         na
Morgan Stanley               8.8      850.0     1330.0
Nomura                       8.9        800       1200
Peking U                     8.8        800
Shenwan Hongyuan             8.9        850       1600
Southwest Sec                8.8        750         na
Standard
Chartered                    9.1        979       1847
UBS                          8.8        900         na
                             FAI  Industrial Production  Retail Sales
                         Jan-Nov                    Nov           Nov
---------------------------------------------------------------------
Median                       7.2                    6.1          10.3
High                         7.3                    6.4          10.8
Low                          7.0                    5.9           9.8
Mean                         7.2                    6.1          10.3
No.                           19                     19            19
Previous                     7.3                    6.2            10
ANZ                           na                     na            na
BAML                         7.1                    6.1          10.3
Bank of Comm                 7.2                    6.1          10.1
CICC                         7.2                    6.1          10.5
Guohai Sec                   7.3                    6.0          10.2
Guotai Junan Securities      7.0                    6.2          10.5
HSBC                          na                     na            na
Huachuang Sec                7.1                    6.1          10.3
Huatai Sec                   7.3                    6.0           9.8
Industrial Bank              7.2                    6.0          10.4
ING                          7.2                    6.3          10.5
Merchants Sec                7.2                    6.2          10.8
Minsheng Research            7.0                    6.1           9.8
Mizuho                       7.2                    6.4          10.3
Moody's                       na                     na            na
Morgan Stanley               7.2                    6.1          10.3
Nomura                       7.3                    6.1           9.9
Peking U                     7.1                    6.0           9.9
Shenwan Hongyuan             7.0                    6.0          10.5
Southwest Sec                7.1                    5.9          10.5
Standard
Chartered                    7.1                    6.4          10.3
UBS                          7.2                    6.2          10.4
     Note: The survey median is compiled solely from the forecasts listed above
and is not intended to represent a market consensus.
     Nov. trade data due for release on Dec. 8, time uncertain.
     Nov. CPI, PPI due for release at 0930 local/0130 GMT Dec. 9; Nov.
industrial output, retail sales and ytd fixed-asset investment due for release
at 1000 local/0200 GMT on Dec. 14. 
     Nov. money supply, bank loans and total social financing expected to be
released between Dec. 11 and Dec. 13. Date and time uncertain.
--MNI Beijing Bureau; tel: +86 (10) 8532-5998; email: beijing@mni-news.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE,M$A$$$,M$Q$$$]