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MNI Survey Of China Economic Forecasts
MNI (London)
BEIJING (MNI) - All figures y/y percentage change unless otherwise
specified.
New Loans
CPI PPI M2 Jan
Jan Jan End-Jan CNY Bln
----------------------------------------------------
Median 1.5 4.3 8.2 2000
High 2 4.8 8.8 2800
Low 1.3 3.9 7.7 1700
Mean 1.5 4.4 8.2 2088.2
No. 19 19 16 17
Previous 1.8 4.9 8.2 584.4
ANZ 1.5 4 8.1 2300
Bank of Communications 1.4 3.9 8.2 2500
Capital Economics 2 4.3 8 2000
China Securities 1.7 4.2 7.7 1700
CICC 1.5 4.3 8 2100
Guohai Sec 1.4 4.3 na 1900
Guotai Junan Sec 1.4 4.7 8 2000
Huatai Sec 1.3 4.8 8.8 2800
Industrial Bank 1.3 4.2 8.2 2000
Merchants Sec 1.6 4.6 8.8 2000
Minsheng Bank 1.5 4.4 na 2000
Moody's 1.6 4.2 na na
Morgan Stanley 1.6 4.7 8.1 2000
Nomura 1.4 4.6 8.5 2200
Peking U 1.3 4.8 8 2000
Pingan Sec 1.7 4.7 8.4 na
Shanghai Sec 1.6 4.2 8.5 2000
Shenwan Hongyuan 1.7 4.6 8 2100
Southwest Sec 1.5 4.2 8.5 1900
TSF
Jan Trade Bal Exports Imports
CNY Bln Jan $ Bln Jan ($ %) Jan ($ %)
----------------------------------------------------------------
Median 3000 56.7 9.8 8.45
High 3600 60 25 21.4
Low 2300 44.2 0 2
Mean 2919.2 54.5 10.8 9.8
No. 13 16 18 18
Previous 1140 54.69 10.9 4.5
ANZ 3000 56.8 10.4 8.3
Bank of Communications na 57 15 15
Capital Economics 3500 na 0 6
China Securities na na 8.5 5
CICC 2500 56.4 10 8
Guohai Sec 2500 na 9.6 4.3
Guotai Junan Sec 2600 58 9 6
Huatai Sec 3000 44.5 12 16
Industrial Bank 3600 49 25 10
Merchants Sec 2800 54 9.1 8.6
Minsheng Bank 2300 60 18 15
Moody's na 59 na na
Morgan Stanley 3150 58.9 11 7.5
Nomura 3200 44.2 5 11
Peking U na 52 8.5 15.5
Pingan Sec na 56.6 9 7
Shanghai Sec na 50 15.8 21.4
Shenwan Hongyuan 3000 59.2 13 10
Southwest Sec 2800 57.06 6 2
Note: The survey median is compiled solely from the forecasts listed above
and is not intended to represent a market consensus.
January trade data is due for release on Feb. 8.
January CPI, PPI due for release at 0930 local/0130 GMT Feb. 9.
January money supply, bank loans and total social financing expected to be
released between Feb. 10 and Feb. 12. Date and time uncertain.
Industrial output, retail sales and YTD fixed-asset investment for January,
together with the data for February, will be released at 1000 local/0200 GMT on
March 14.
--MNI London Bureau; tel: +44 203-586-2225; email: les.commons@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE,MAQDT$,M$A$$$,M$Q$$$]
MNI London Bureau | +44 203-865-3812 | les.commons@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 203-865-3812 | les.commons@marketnews.com
To read the full story
Close
Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
Sign up now for free trial access to this content.
Please enter your details below.
Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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