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MNI Survey Of China Economic Forecasts

     BEIJING (MNI) - All figures y/y percentage change unless otherwise
specified.
                                                          New Loans Dec  TSF Dec
                    GDP Q4  CPI Dec  PPI Dec  M2 ytd Dec        CNY Bln  CNY Bln
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Median                 6.7      1.9      4.8         9.2            990     1500
High                     7      2.1      5.2         9.5           1520     1700
Low                    6.6      1.7      4.6         8.7            750     1150
Mean                   6.7      1.9      4.8         9.1         1009.6   1451.4
No.                     18       21       21          19             20       13
Previous               6.8      1.7      5.8         9.1           1120     1600
BAML                   6.7      1.9      4.8         9.2           1120     1598
BankComm               6.7      1.9      4.9         9.5            850       na
CITIC Sec               na      1.9      4.9         9.0            800       na
CICC                   6.8      2.0      4.7         9.0           1000     1400
China Sec              6.7      1.8      4.6         9.2           1100       na
Commerzbank            6.8      2.1      4.7         9.0           1021     1500
Guotai Junan           6.8      1.7      4.8         9.0            900     1300
Huachang Sec            na      1.7      5.0         9.2            900       na
Huatai Sec             6.7      1.8      4.7         9.0             na     1600
Industrial Bank        6.7      1.7      4.7         9.2            850     1500
ING                    6.7      1.9      4.7         9.0           1520       na
Macquarie              6.6      1.9      4.8         9.2            950       na
Merchant Sec            na      1.8      4.8         9.3            800     1200
Nomura                 6.6      1.9      4.8         9.4            750     1150
Peking U Rsrch         6.8      1.8      4.8         9.2           1400       na
Sealand Sec            6.8      1.9      4.8          na           1050       na
Southwest Sec          6.6      1.9      5.2         9.0           1200     1500
Shanghai Sec             7      2.1      4.8         9.5            800     1320
Shenwan Hongyuan       6.7      1.8      4.8         9.0            980     1700
Standard Chartered     6.6      2.0      4.8         8.7           1000     1500
UBS                    6.7      1.8      5.0          na           1200     1600
                  Trade   Exports   Imports     Investment   Output       Retail
               Bal $Bln       $ %       $ %        YTD Dec      Dec    Sales Dec
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Median             37.9      10.0      15.0            7.1      6.0         10.2
High               45.0      15.0      18.0            7.3      6.8         11.0
Low                20.0       6.0       8.0            7.0      5.9          9.6
Mean               36.4       9.9      13.9            7.1      6.1         10.2
No.                  19        21        21             21       21           20
Previous           40.2      12.3      17.7            7.2      6.1         10.2
BAML               37.9      13.0      17.1            7.1      6.0         10.3
BankComm           42.0      14.0      16.0            7.2      6.6         10.4
CITIC Sec          20.0      15.0      18.0            7.1      6.0         10.4
CICC               36.4       9.0      13.0            7.1      6.0         10.3
China Sec            na       6.0       9.0            7.0      6.0         10.0
Commerzbank        39.5       9.6      13.4            7.0      6.2         10.3
Guotai Junan       33.4      10.0      15.0            7.2      6.0         10.0
Huachang Sec       35.5      10.2      15.0            7.0      6.2         10.1
Huatai Sec         33.0       6.5      11.0            7.3      6.1          9.6
Industrial
Bank               39.5       7.0      15.0            7.1      5.9         10.1
ING                40.2       8.7      10.4            7.2      6.0         10.4
Macquarie          32.6       8.0      14.0            7.0      6.0         10.2
Merchant Sec       45.0       9.0       8.0            7.0      6.1         10.3
Nomura             38.5       6.0       8.0            7.1      6.1         10.1
Peking U
Rsrch              39.0      11.0      16.5            7.1      6.0         11.0
Sealand Sec          na      12.0      13.7            7.2      6.1         10.0
Southwest Sec      35.1      10.0      15.0            7.1      5.9         10.0
Shanghai Sec       38.0      10.0      15.1            7.3      6.8         10.3
Shenwan
Hongyuan           33.4      10.0      16.0            7.2      6.1          9.8
Standard
Chartered          35.0       9.0      14.0            7.0      5.9         10.1
UBS                38.3      14.0      18.0            7.0      6.1           na
     Note: The survey median is compiled solely from the forecasts listed above
and is not intended to represent a market consensus.
     December trade data due for release on Jan. 12.
     December CPI, PPI due for release at 0930 local/0130 GMT Jan. 10; December
industrial output, retail sales and ytd fixed-asset investment due for release
at 1000 local/0200 GMT on Jan. 18. 
     December money supply, bank loans and total social financing expected to be
released between Jan. 10 and Jan. 15. Date and time uncertain.
--MNI Beijing Bureau; tel: +86 (10) 8532-5998; email: beijing@mni-news.com
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