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MNI Survey of US Economic Forecasts: July 1-3

                        Jul 1  Jul 1      Jul 3  Jul 3    Jul 3   Jul 3
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                       Constr    Mfg    Jobless   Intl  Factory  Nonmfg
                        Spend    ISM     Claims  Trade   Orders     ISM
Data For                  May    Jun  Jun 29 wk    May      May     Jun
Denomination          Pct Chg  Index          K  $ bln  Pct Chg   Index
Median Forecast **        0.4   51.3        222  -53.6     -0.7    56.0
High Forecast             0.6   53.0        230  -48.7      0.1    56.9
Low Forecast             -0.6   50.0        220  -54.6     -1.0    55.0
Mean                      0.2   51.3        223  -53.5     -0.5    55.9
Standard Deviation        0.3    0.7        3.7    1.5      0.4     0.5
No. of Responses           10     18          6     13        9      14
Amherst Pierpont           NA   52.1         NA     NA       NA      NA
BofA/Merrill Lynch        0.4   51.0        220  -54.6       NA    56.0
BMO                        NA   51.5         NA  -54.4       NA    56.9
Capital Economics          NA   51.5        225  -53.5     -0.8    55.5
CIBC                       NA   50.8         NA  -53.2     -0.4    55.9
Credit Suisse              NA   50.5         NA     NA       NA      NA
Deka                      0.6   51.0         NA     NA     -1.0    56.5
Deutsche Bank             0.5   51.5         NA  -48.7      0.1    56.0
FT Advisors               0.4   51.6        223  -53.2     -0.9    56.1
HSBC                      0.0   51.2         NA  -54.4       NA    55.1
ING Group                  NA   50.0         NA     NA       NA      NA
Jefferies Economics        NA     NA        230     NA       NA      NA
Lloyds Bank               0.3   51.5        220  -53.6     -0.4    56.3
Morgan Stanley           -0.6   51.0         NA     NA       NA      NA
Nomura                     NA   51.0         NA  -54.5       NA    56.0
RBC                        NA   53.0         NA  -53.1       NA    55.0
UBS                       0.4   50.6        220  -54.6     -0.9    55.5
Umaryland                 0.2   52.3         NA  -54.3      0.1    56.1
Wells Fargo               0.1   51.3         NA  -53.6     -0.7    55.7
--MNI Washington Bureau; tel: +1 202-371-2121; email: kevin.kastner@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE,M$U$$$]

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