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MNI US Morning Fixed Income Technical Analysis

By Les Castell
     Click below for today's MNI US Morning FI Technical Analysis Report -
http://tinyurl.com/h8pyhnq
US 5YR FUTURE TECHS: (U17) Recovers To Retest July High At 118-097
*RES 4: 118-277 Median line off Mar & May lows
*RES 3: 118-247 Jun 14 high
*RES 2: 118-140/145 Jun 26 high, 76.4% of 118-247/117-132
*RES 1: 118-095/097 Jul 24, Jul 21 highs
*PRICE: 118-067 @1013GMT
*SUP 1: 118-010/030 Aug 1 low, hourly support
*SUP 2: 117-302 Jul 28 low
*SUP 3: 117-265/270 Jul 25 low, initial rally high Jul 13
*SUP 4: 117-235 Jul 13 low
*COMMENTARY* 117-295 support remained intact, having survived a 117-302 pullback
last Friday. The subsequent recovery has now found the wherewithal for a move
back above 118-072, thereby bringing the late July highs at 118-095/118-097 back
into the equation. Faltered here so far but a successful break will then have
118-140/118-145 as the remaining bar to the Jun 14 high at 118-247. Support
rises with it, 118-030/118-010 now in front of the still important 117-302.
US 10YR FUTURE TECHS: (U17) Has 126-115/120 Back In Sight As Recovery Continues
*RES 4: 126-290 Jun 26 high
*RES 3: 126-215 76.4% Fibo of 127-080/124-255
*RES 2: 126-115/120 Jun 19 low, Jul 21, 24 highs
*RES 1: 126-080 Aug 1 high
*PRICE: 126-030 @1021GMT
*SUP 1: 125-250 Hourly support
*SUP 2: 125-215 Aug 1 low
*SUP 3: 125-155 Jul 25 low
*SUP 4: 125-125/130 Congestion area Jul 12-13
*COMMENTARY* Gradually chipping away at resistance, most latterly above 126-065,
as we look to retest the key 126-115/126-120 region. A high of 126-080 so far,
before some near term overbought conditions have come into play. In this
respect, look to 125-250 and then yesterday's 125-215 low to form support. Back
below the latter will disappoint now . Directly above 126-120 and the next main
attraction becomes the 76.4% Fibo level at 126-215.
US 30YR FUTURE TECHS: (U17) A 154-11 Break Needed To Swing Near Term Bias Higher
*RES 4: 155-02 61.8% of 157-08/151-18, 1% volatility band 
*RES 3: 154-31 Jul 21 high
*RES 2: 154-11 Jul 25 high
*RES 1: 154-03 Aug 1 high
*PRICE: 153-21 @1031GMT
*SUP 1: 152-23/31 Hourly support
*SUP 2: 152-03/09 Jul 27, 28, Aug 1 lows
*SUP 3: 151-28 Jul 13 low, 1% volatility band
*SUP 4: 151-18 Jul 7 low
*COMMENTARY* Recovering after the fall to 152-03 last week, Tuesday moving back
above 153-21 resistance. A high of 154-03 so far, as we chase a break back above
154-11. This would swing the near term focus back to the topside and another
assault on the Jul 21 high at 154-31. A break here then the key to a further
155-02 rise, where dual resistance awaits. In the interim, support comes from
152-31/152-23, ahead of the still important 152-03.
     US EURODOLLAR TECHS: (Z17) 98.515 Still Provides Key Near Term Support
*RES 4: 98.630 Jun 14 high
*RES 3: 98.610 Jun 6 high
*RES 2: 98.580/590 Congestion lows May 19-Jun 8, Jun 16 high
*RES 1: 98.560/565 Hourly resistance
*PRICE: 98.550 @1034GMT
*SUP 1: 98.515 Initial recovery high Jul 6, now support
*SUP 2: 98.495 Jul 6 low, 50% of 98.335-98.655
*SUP 3: 98.470 Apr 23 low
*SUP 4: 98.455 61.8% Fibo of 98.335-98.655
*COMMENTARY* Found support from the 50% Fibo retrace level at 98.495 earlier
last month, a recovery has reached the base of the 98.580-98.590 resistance
area. As a result, has become overbought in the near term and now giving back
some of those gains. In this respect, look to 98.515 for support and protection
against a return of the previous downtrend and 98.495 again. Resistance now from
98.560-98.565 ahead of 98.580-98.590 again.
--MNI London Bureau;tel: +44 207-862-7495; email: les.castell@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE]

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