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Momentum on CZK Remains Firm Despite Deep Negative Czech Real Yields

CZECHIA
  • EURCZK continues to retrace lower this morning after breaking below its 24.50 support yesterday; next level to watch on the downside stands at 24.2960. On the topside, resistance to watch now stands at 24.50.
  • Support for the CZK has been strong in the past few days despite Czech Republic currently offering the second lowest 10Y real yield among the EM world after Turkey (-12.8%, see chart).
  • This morning, economic data showed that CPI inflation accelerated to 17.2% YoY in June (vs. 17.1% exp.), up from 16% the previous year.
  • Even if the new board seems less keen on hiking rates aggressively to counter the inflationary pressures, new Governor Michl recently mentioned that bringing down inflation was the board ‘priority’.

Source: Bloomberg/MNI

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