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Momentum on CZKPLN Remains Firm Following Rusnok Comments

CEE FX
  • CZKPLN continues to trend higher this morning after finding support slightly below the 0.18 level last week.
  • Yesterday’s hawkish comments from CNB Governor Rusnok (terminal rate closer to 4%) keeps supporting the CZK against PLN (where policy outlook still remains uncertain).
  • The PLN is the most vulnerable currency among the CEE region: rising covid uncertainty, FX loan settlements, sharp flattening of the yield curve are additional risk factors that could impact the zloty in the medium term.
  • Key resistance to watch on the topside stands at 0.1857, which corresponds to the pair’s all-time high reached in November.

Source: Bloomberg/MNI

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