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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
ITALY
The latest opinion poll from SWG shows the right-wing nationalist Brothers of Italy (FdI) with 20.1% support, the highest score the party has ever received in an opinion poll.
- SWG: Lega: 21.4% (-0.3), FdI: 20.1% (+0.1), Democratic Party (PD): 19.2% (+0.2), 5-Star Movement (M5S): 15.9% (+0.1), Forza Italia (FI): 6.9% (+0.6), Free and Equal (LeU): 4.7% (-0.5), Action: 3.4% (-0.2), Italia Viva (IV): 2.1% (=). Fieldwork: 2-7 June, chgs w/26-31 May, 1,200 respondents.
Chart 1. Italy General Election Opinion Polling, % and 6-poll moving average
Source: SWG, Tecne, Noto, EMG, Termometro Politico, Piepoli, Ipsos, Euromedia, Quorom, Index, MNI
- FdI reached second-place in nationwide opinion polls in May initially, and over the course of late-May and early June been able to sustain the narrow lead over the centre-left PD in polls. The FdI now trails only the populist-right wing League of former Deputy PM Matteo Salvini in polling.
- FdI has seen a steady increase in support over the past 12 months, something sustained in early 2020 following the collapse of the M5S-PD gov't of PM Giuseppe Conte and its replacement with a broad-coalition gov't under former ECB President Mario Draghi. The party is the largest grouping in parliament that is not part of the gov't, and therefore acts as the official opposition.
- Party leader Giorgia Meloni's position as the most prominent anti-gov't member of the Chamber of Deputies, combined with an increase in migrant flows across the Mediterranean to Italy from North Africa, has sustained a shift in right-wing support from the League to the Brothers of Italy.
Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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