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NBH Surprises Market With a 50bps Hike In 1W Depo Rate

HUNGARY
  • This morning, the NBH surprised the market by hiking its 1W depo rate by 50bps to 7.25%; not a single economist (among the 5 on BBG) was expecting the NBH to act today.
  • This follows the Fed’s 75bps hike yesterday, which could add pressure to EM FX as ‘hawkish’ Fed and elevated market uncertainty should continue to support the ‘safe’ US Dollar in the near term.
  • It is interesting to see that the NBH is again intervening via the 1W depo facility in between the ‘core’ monthly policy meeting as the dramatic HUF weakness has been supporting inflation expectations.
  • EURHUF continues its bearish retracement following the announcement, finding support at 394.60; next support to watch on the downside stands at 393, followed by 390.

Source: BLoomberg

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