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New Home Sales Slump To Early 2016 Lows

US DATA
  • New home sales dialled up the pace of contraction in US housing activity in July, surprisingly sliding -12.6% M/M (cons -2.5%) and with sizeable declines in each of the major regions aside from the north-east.
  • It follows a -7% decline in June for almost -40% since the peak in Dec’21, pushing below the lows of the pandemic to the lowest since Jan’16.
  • As with existing sales though, the weakness in housing activity doesn’t mean weakness in prices just yet, with median prices still rising +8.2% Y/Y even if the pace is slowing quickly.
  • It’s still likely to provoke a further sharp fall in housing starts and construction though, continuing to build on the drag from residential investment on GDP of circa 0.2pps to year-ago growth in both 1Q22 and 2Q22 (noted here: https://marketnews.com/taking-stock-of-the-housing-slowdown-1-3).


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