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NZD/JPY has been range-bound either side of....>

KIWI
KIWI: NZD/JPY has been range-bound either side of Y71.00; it last sits +2 pips
at Y71.01. Comments from central bank hasn't done much to move the needle as in
essence neither Orr nor Kuroda offered much new. The kiwi picked up a very
marginal bid as Orr said that the RBNZ is in no rush to cut interest rates, but
this was a mere rehash of his earlier claim that the MPC is satisfied with where
rates sit at present. Kuroda insisted that the BoJ remains ready to act, but
doesn't see the need. Elsewhere, Japan's CPI matched expectations, while flash
Jibun Bank PMIs slid with services & composite gauges entering contraction.
- Thursday saw both sides of the pair enter a race to the bottom. The kiwi's
wings were clipped by broader risk aversion, inspired by multiple worrying
signals re: Covid-19 epidemic. JPY failed to capitalise on these concerns and
was limited by a growing fear that Japan's economy could face recession. NZD/JPY
finished the day 12 pips below neutral levels.
- The 100-DMA at Y70.77 draws the initial bearish attention & below there would
open the Feb 18 low of Y70.10. Meanwhile, a clearance of the Feb 12 peak at
Y71.35 would give bulls the upper hand, exposing the 50-DMA at Y71.86.

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