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Oil has spilled over, literally and...........>

FOREX
FOREX: Oil has spilled over, literally and figuratively, with the Saturday drone
attack on Saudi Aramco facilities affecting an ~5% of global crude output. Mkt
impact has been slightly moderated as U.S. Pres Trump authorised the release of
U.S. petroleum reserves if needed to secure ample supply. Still, a combination
of risk aversion & firmer oil prices has determined price action in early trade.
- Crude skyrocketed bolstering oil-tied FX, which remain bid even as oil came
off highs. NOK & CAD top the G10 pile; RUB is the strongest EM currency.
- JPY has garnered strength on safe haven demand, which offset the impact of
firmer crude; CHF is also stronger. The Antipodeans are the major G10 laggards,
alongside GBP. Sterling has struggled on the risk-off mood & (possibly) PM
Johnson's preparedness to defy parliamentary ban on pursuing a no-deal Brexit.
- USD/KRW opened sharply lower, playing catch-up to USD/yuan moves pre-weekend,
when S. Korean markets were shut for a 2-day holiday. TRY slumped on Saudi news.
- China's activity data is on the radar, with the Asia-Pac docket otherwise thin
amid a market holiday in Japan. Final Italian CPI for Aug, U.S. Empire m'fing,
Norwegian trade balance & a speech from ECB's Lane take focus thereafter.

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