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PEN Outperforms Despite Broad USD Strength

PERU
  • The Peruvian Sol continues to buck the trend as the stand-alone regional winner on Thursday (+0.12%). PEN gains have extended to around 3% this week, in the face of greenback strength, with market positioning potentially being caught offside. Analysts highlight the 50-day SMA that has been supportive in recent USDPEN price dips.
  • Sol-denominated government bond due 2031 slipped 0.08% to 112.558 cents on the dollar after a 1.8% advance on Monday and Wednesday, either side of the local holiday.
  • Markets were bolstered from political developments and the softening in tone from the likely next President Castillo evident by his vote of support for current central bank governor Velarde. The winner of the June 6 runoff is scheduled to take office on July 28.
  • Additionally, Peru Lima Consumer Prices Rose 0.52% M/m in June versus an estimate of +0.2%. The annual figure rose to 3.25% against a prior reading of 2.45%. The BCRP will meet next Friday 9th July.

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