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Free AccessPeriphery spreads are widening..........>
EGB SUMMARY: Periphery spreads are widening Thursday ahead of the ECB meeting.
- The spread of 10-Yr Italian BTPs vs Bunds is up 6bps at 252.3bps, with some
bear steepening in the curve.
- Most Italian spread narrowing following Thursday`s Bloomberg piece playing up
ECB TLTRO willingness have now been reversed.
- Spain, Portugal, and Greece each 2-4bps wider to Bunds as well.
- Spain Bono/Obli sale a little weak; France's more solid by comparison.
- ECB meeting the focus today, of course, with decision at 1245GMT/presser at
1330GMT. Some material downward revisions to growth and inflation forecasts
expected, but ECB are unlikely to significantly shift forward guidance.
- Big question regards TLTROs, which ECB likely to signal but not launch now.
- Bunds fairly steady, Jun19 future up 17 ticks at 163.72.
- No revision to Q4 2019 Eurozone GDP in final data this morning (0.2% Q/Q), but
some attention being paid to decent investment and consumption figures, offset
in tone somewhat by a downgrade to Q3 growth.
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.