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POWER: Poland's Feb Continues Ascent

POWER
USCommoditiesPolandEnergy BulletsCEEMEABulletPower BulletsNorth America

Poland’s February has edged high on the back of price increases in emissions, which offset declines in coal. However, temperatures in Warsaw are anticipated to remain mostly above the 30-year norm over 6-17 January.

  • Poland Feb baseload power settled at PLN458.65/MWh compared to its settled price of PLN453.47/MWh on 2 January, according to data on Polish power exchange TGE.
  • This is the highest the contract has been since settling at PLN463/MWh on 2 December 2024.
  • EUA DEC 25 up 1.2% at 76.07 EUR/MT
  • Rotterdam Coal FEB 25 down 1.3% at 112.25 USD/MT at 16:03 GMT
  • Average temperatures in Warsaw are seen to remain mostly above the norm of around -0.8C over 6-17 January, however, will dip sharply below over 4-5 January at around -2C.
  • The February contract traded 24 times in 24 lots from 25 lots exchanged in the previous session.
  • The contract opened at PLN454/MWh before rising to as high as PLN459.50/MWh and ending at a session at PLN459/MWh.
  • Closer in, the day-ahead rose to PLN489.69/MWh for Saturday delivery from PLN387.26/MWh for Friday as temps are seen to drop to -2C tomorrow from 0.55C today.
  • Looking slightly ahead, wind is expected at a 62% load factor, or 5.74GW on 6 January – which could cap gains from typically higher demand from the weekend demand.
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Poland’s February has edged high on the back of price increases in emissions, which offset declines in coal. However, temperatures in Warsaw are anticipated to remain mostly above the 30-year norm over 6-17 January.

  • Poland Feb baseload power settled at PLN458.65/MWh compared to its settled price of PLN453.47/MWh on 2 January, according to data on Polish power exchange TGE.
  • This is the highest the contract has been since settling at PLN463/MWh on 2 December 2024.
  • EUA DEC 25 up 1.2% at 76.07 EUR/MT
  • Rotterdam Coal FEB 25 down 1.3% at 112.25 USD/MT at 16:03 GMT
  • Average temperatures in Warsaw are seen to remain mostly above the norm of around -0.8C over 6-17 January, however, will dip sharply below over 4-5 January at around -2C.
  • The February contract traded 24 times in 24 lots from 25 lots exchanged in the previous session.
  • The contract opened at PLN454/MWh before rising to as high as PLN459.50/MWh and ending at a session at PLN459/MWh.
  • Closer in, the day-ahead rose to PLN489.69/MWh for Saturday delivery from PLN387.26/MWh for Friday as temps are seen to drop to -2C tomorrow from 0.55C today.
  • Looking slightly ahead, wind is expected at a 62% load factor, or 5.74GW on 6 January – which could cap gains from typically higher demand from the weekend demand.