Political Risk Week Ahead September 28-October 4

by Tom Lake

All timings subject to change.

Monday 28 September:

• EU-UK: UK Cabinet Office Minister Michael Gove travels to Brussels for talks with Vice-President of the European Commission for Interinstitutional Relations Maroš Šefčovič. Set to discuss the implementation of the Brexit withdrawal agreement, and likely in specific relation to the controversial UK Internal Market bill currently going through the UK Parliament. In a statement on September 10, Šefčovič said the UK had until the end of the month to amend the bill to the EU's satisfaction that it would not breach the Withdrawal Agreement and in particular the Northern Ireland protocol.
• Europe: French President Emmanuel Macron visits Lithuania before travelling to Latvia on Tuesday. The main topic of discussion likely to be the situation in Belarus, and by extension European relations with Russia. Baltic state leaders attempting to encourage Macron to engage in a tougher stance against Russia.
• France: Government presents its draft 2021 budget. Inevitably the prime focus will be on measures to support the economy in the wake of the COVID-19 pandemic.
• Greece: Foreign Minister Nikos Dendias hosts US Secretary of State Mike Pompeo. Escalating tensions in the Eastern Mediterranean likely to be at the top of the agenda. US has a tough path to tread in the disagreement, given that Greece and Turkey are both NATO allies, and therefore Washington, D.C. cannot be seen as favouring one side over the other.
• United States: President Trump gives an update on his administration's COVID-19 testing strategy from the White House Rose Garden at 1400ET (1900ET, 2000CET).
• United States: Democratic vice-presidential nominee Kamala Harris travels to Raleigh in the swing state of North Carolina to deliver a speech on the Supreme Court.
• Italy: Lawmakers set to debate measures to bring forward economic stimulus packages, including a job retention scheme. Comes ahead of the publication of the draft 2021 budget in the coming days.
• Israel: Public holiday for Yom Kippur.

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