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MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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Free Access###POV: The ECB releases accounts of its...>
ECB VIEW: ###POV: The ECB releases accounts of its Jun 13/14 GC meeting at
1130GMT today and following an ECB sources story by Reuters yesterday, markets
will have a close eye for any differences of opinion on timing of first interest
rate hike.
- What also makes this more interesting is news that both French and German
version of the initial statement have been amended, adding to the confusion.
- As a reminder in the English version the statement said that interest rates
would remain at current levels "at least through the summer of 2019", which
markets took as meaning September was the earliest rates could be raised.
- However it has been reported that the original French and German translations
have been revised to say that rates will remain unchanged "until summer 2019"
from unchanged until the "end of summer 2019". Hence some difference of opinion
on the governing council in recent comments (Villeroy in particular).
- MNI PINCH calculate markets pricing in just 2.5bps of rate hikes in July 2019,
close to 5bps in Sep, 10bp in Oct and 13.5bps in December. Confirmation of
differences of opinion in the minutes could easily cause markets to reprice.
To read the full story
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.