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Powell, FOMC Display Only Half-Hearted Tightening Bias (1/2)
Based on Powell's comments at today's press conference and the change in statement language, the FOMC likely has a tightening bias going forward, but it seems a little half-hearted.
- While not directly addressing a question (from MNI) on whether the FOMC had a tightening bias, Powell said "we are prepared to do more if further monetary policy restraint is warranted".
- But otherwise, he was quite dovish, spending far more time expressing different ways to say that the Fed sees policy having already reached a terminal level.
- While the statement dropped the language about getting policy to "sufficiently restrictive", Powell wouldn't be fully drawn on whether he saw policy having reached that level ("That's an ongoing assessment. It is not possible to say that with confidence now.").
- But he said that in the March Dot Plot, the median was for where rates arrived today at 5.00-5.25%, and they'll revisit in June. Bank credit tightening means "in principle we won't have to raise rates quite as high as we would have if this had not happened."
To read the full story
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.