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Price Signal Summary - EURUSD Bear Channel Top Remains Intact

MARKET INSIGHT
  • In the equity space, S&P E-minis are consolidating but remain in a clear uptrend. The next objective is 4591.25, the 1.00 projection of the Jul 19 - Aug 16 - Aug 19 price swing. Scope is also seen for a break of the 4600.00 handle. Support to watch is at 4543.75, Wednesday's low. EUROSTOXX 50 futures yesterday probed key resistance at 4223.00, Sep 6 high and the bull trigger. A clear break would confirm a resumption of the broader uptrend and open 4290.50, 1.00 projection of the Jul 19 - Sep 6 - Oct 6 price swing. The outlook remains bullish.
  • In FX, EURUSD rallied yesterday and did probe the 50-day EMA. While this is a positive development, a key resistance at 1.1706 remains intact, the bear channel top drawn off the Jun 1 high. A channel breakout is required to signal a more decisive reversal. Initial support lies at 1.1582, yesterday's low. GBPUSD short-term bullish conditions remain intact and corrections so far have been shallow. The focus is on 1.3913, Sep 14 high and a key resistance. Support to watch is at 3710, Wednesday's low. USDJPY remains below recent highs but maintains a bullish tone. Scope is seen for a climb towards 114.99, 1.50 projection of the Apr 23 - Jul 2 - Aug 4 price swing. The support zone to watch is 113.14-00, the 20-day EMA and Oct 12 low respectively.
  • On the commodity front, Gold is consolidating but maintains a positive short-term tone. Scope is seen for a climb towards $1834.0, the Sep 3 high. Initial support is at$1780.8, the 50-day EMA. WTI broader trend conditions are unchanged although futures have faced selling pressure this week. Support to watch is at $80.58, the 20-day EMA and yesterday's low.
  • In the FI space, price action was extremely volatile yesterday. Bund futures sights are on 167.79, 2.50 projection of the Sep 9 - 17 - 21 price swing. Key resistance at 169.92, Oct 14 high, remains intact. Gilts breached and closed above resistance at 152.57 Wednesday, Oct 14 high. This confirmed a double bottom reversal on the daily chart and signals scope for a climb towards 126.39, 50.0% retracement of the Aug - Oct downleg. Initial support is at 124.55, Oct 27 low. BTPs continue their slide, extending yesterday' sharp sell-off. The focus is on 148.04 1.236 projection of the Sep 23 - Oct 6 - 14 price swing.

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