April 25, 2024 10:45 GMT
Price Signal Summary - USDJPY Bull Cycle Extends
OUTLOOK
- In FX, EURUSD is holding on to its latest gains and has traded higher today, piercing resistance at 1.0726, the 20-day EMA. The move higher appears to be a correction that is allowing a recent oversold condition to unwind. A resumption of the downtrend would signal scope for weakness towards 1.0568 next, the Nov 2 2023 low, and 1.0537, the base of a bear channel drawn from the Dec 28 high. A clear break of the 20-day EMA would instead signal scope for a stronger recovery and open 1.0783, the 50-day EMA.
- The trend condition in GBPUSD remains bearish and this week’s recovery appears to be a correction. The move higher is allowing an oversold condition to unwind. Moving average studies are in a bear-mode set-up and the recent break lower, maintains the downward price sequence of lower lows and lower highs. Sights are on 1.2266, the Nov 14 2023 low. Resistance at 1.2512, the 20-day EMA, has been pierced. Next resistance is 1.2586, the 50-day EMA.
- The USDJPY trend condition remains bullish and the pair continues to appreciate. This week’s move higher confirms a resumption of the primary uptrend and the 155.00 handle has been cleared. Note too that moving average studies remain in a bull mode position. This set-up highlights a clear rising trend and sights are on the 156.47 next, the 2.00 projection of the Feb 1 - 13 - Mar 8 price swing. On the downside, support lies at 153.34, the 20-day EMA.
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