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of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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Free AccessRates holding weaker levels after...>
US TSYS SUMMARY: Rates holding weaker levels after midday, off first half lows
amid modest consolidation/position squaring after curve steepening sell-off on
stronger than exp Jul NFP (+209k). Dec rate hike prob. 37.6% (MNI PICH).
- Tsy futures traded mildly weaker into the open; rates opened mildly higher
O/N, adding to Thu's long-end lead rally, reversing course into London trade,
following Bunds after upbeat German factory orders.
- Cash Tsys saw two-way flows by real$ and hedge funds amid initial selloff,
brief foreign central bank buying in short end followed by cross-current flow in
5s and 10s.
- Accelerated selling from prop, real$ and program accts in 5s, 10s and 30s,
FX-tied selling amid rebound in USD vs. majors, dollar weakness "way overdone"
one desk adds. Tsys saw initial 5/30Y curve flatteners then some profit-taking
and more unwinds. Cash Tsy 2/10Y, 2/30Y, 2/5Y curves saw recent steepeners.
Deal-tied hedging absent going into the weekend.
- Heavy limited upside call fly buying, EDZ 96/97/98 call fly betting on no more
rate hikes for '17 as well as narrowing of FRA/OIS from mid-teens.
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.