Free Trial

RBC Maintains Bearish Refinery Outlook: OPIS

OIL

RBC Capital Markets told clients on Jan. 30 that it holds a bearish outlook on refinery margins in the medium term because of an expected ramp up in production from new refineries in Mexico and Nigeria, according to OPIS.

  • However, RBC don’t expect to see increased production from either refinery for several additional quarters or even years.
  • RBC also acknowledged that there are ambiguous timelines for the start of operations at both Nigeria’s 650k b/d Dangote and Mexico’s 340k b/d Dos Bocas.
  • RBC expects Dos Bocas to displace around 15-20% of US gasoline exports in favour of home-grown production.
  • RBC also said that its still too early to determine if OPEC+ has compiled with its promised Q1 cuts.
  • The bank also offered a mixed view for China’s demand, with “no evidence yet that China is firing on all cylinders”.

To read the full story

Close

Why MNI

MNI is the leading provider

of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.

Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.