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REPEAT: MNI 5 THINGS: Japan Apr Retail Sales Up; Trend Flat
TOKYO (MNI) - Japan's retail sales posted solid gains both on year and
month in April, indicating consumption may rebound in the second quarter after
the severe winter weather caused a slump in the first three months of the year,
preliminary retail sales released Wednesday by the Ministry of Economy, Trade
and Industry (METI) showed.
For clearer indications of consumption including spending on services, the
Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications releases household spending on
Tuesday, June 5, and the Bank of Japan releases its supply-side Consumption
Activity Index on Thursday, June 7, both for April.
The key points from April retail sales data:
* Retail sales rose 1.6% on year in April for the sixth straight
year-on-year rise, coming in firmer than the MNI median economist forecast for
+1.1%. The pace of growth accelerated from +1.0% in March but was slower than
the recent peak of +3.6% in December 2017.
* The increase was partly supported by recent gains in the prices for food
and beverages as well as fuels, compared to year-earlier levels. Excluding the
sales of those two categories, retail sales rose only 0.8% on year. Sales of
fuels accelerated to 11.2% y/y in April from +7.1% in March while those of food
and beverages slowed to +0.5 y/y in April from +1.8% in March and +2.5% in
February as fresh food costs have eased after a surge late last year.
* On the month, retail sales rose 1.4% on a seasonally adjusted basis in
April, the first rise in two months after -0.6% in March. In Q1, retails sales
fell a seasonally adjusted 0.6% on quarter. The three-month moving average
rebounded 0.4% from the previous three-month period in April, marking the first
rise in three months.
* METI maintained its view that retail sales are flat. Last month it
downgraded its view for the first time since January 2016. Previously, it said
retail sales had been picking up moderately.
* Earlier this month, industry data showed department store sales rose 0.7%
in April for the second straight year-on-year rise as higher temperatures
boosted demand for spring and summer clothing. The Japan Department Stores
Association also noted that amid stable foreign exchange and stock markets,
spending by tourists from overseas continued to post double-digit percentage
gains on year to another record high in April, and that sales to wealthy
consumers remained solid.
--MNI Tokyo Bureau; tel: +81 90-4670-5309; email: max.sato@marketnews.com
To read the full story
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.