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Retail Sales Fall 4.5% y/y, Moody’s Make No Decision on Hungary Rating

HUNGARY
  • Hungary’s retail sales fell 4.5% y/y (Est. -2.9%) in January compared to a revised -4.1% in December, according to figures released by the Central Statistical Office this morning, putting pressure on the EURHUF cross (-0.35%) at the start of the session.
  • Moody’s made no decision on Hungary’s sovereign credit rating on Friday having not updated the rating in September either. Their rating assessment of Hungary currently stands at Baa2, the second-lowest investment grade score, with a stable outlook. The next review by Fitch is scheduled for June 23, with S&P following two weeks later. Moody’s will come on September 1.
  • Peace in Ukraine would save lives, that is why the Hungarian government urges a ceasefire and immediate peace talks, minister of foreign affairs and trade Szijjarto told Croatian news channel N1 on Sunday as reported by MTI. The comments echo similar rhetoric from Prime Minister Orban and other government officials who have continued to criticise the EU for increasing sanctions placed on Russia.
  • Looking ahead, CPI data (Est. 24.5% y/y) crosses on Wednesday, which is expected to show inflation having peaked in January. Industrial production data (Est. 4.3% y/y), budget balance data and trade balance data are all on the docket this week also.

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