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Richer After RBA

AUSSIE BONDS

ACGBs spike richer after the RBA holds the cash rate steady at 3.60%, as expected, to be up strongly on the day (YM + 10.0 & XM +8.0) but off post-RBA bests. The RBA board watered down previously hawkish forward guidance by stating “some further tightening of policy may be needed” while stating that a range of data suggests inflation has peaked and that the global economy remains subdued. The bank also believed that bank stress would lead to tighter global financial conditions.

  • Cash ACGBs are 3-5bp richer after the RBA decision to be 8-10bp stronger on the day.
  • Swaps rates are also 3-5bp lower post-RBA.
  • Bills strip strengthens 6-8bp after the RBA decision with pricing +4 to +12bp with the whites leading.
  • RBA dated OIS pricing is flat to 7bp softer across meetings after the RBA decision.

    Figure 1: RBA Dated OIS: Post-RBA Vs. Pre-RBA



    Source: MNI – Market News / Bloomberg

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