Free Trial

Risk-On Even Before Strong Housing Data

US TSYS SUMMARY
Weaker across the curve all session, Tsy futures holding near middle session range, yield curves see-sawed to flatter levels after the close, equities new highs (ESM1 4180.)
  • Risk-on after strong data: housing starts (1.457M) and permissions (1.720M) both beat expectations, with Tsy futures making new lows, 10YY tapped 1.5957% high vs. 1.5728% currently. Sources noted real$ and fast$ sold 5s and 10s early on, bank selling 30s, prop 2-way in 5s.
  • Moderate two-way positioning ensued as accts looked to square up ahead weekend and lack of data until Thursday next week, Fed enters media blackout at midnight through April 29.
  • Large $15B Bank of America 6pt jumbo debt issuance launched late, rounding out heavy week of issuance from GSIBs ($13B JPM, $6B GS, $8B World Bank, $4.25B IADB, $2.25B BNP Paribas).
  • No react to to Fed Gov Waller comments "FED'S DOT PLOT OF FORECASTS ON RATES ISN'T HELPING US" Bbg mirrored Fed Chair on Wed: mkt places too much importance on dot-plot, stresses outcomes / goals need to be met: labor market recovery, inflation stable at 2% (not temporary), moving above 2%.
  • The 2-Yr yield is up 0.2bps at 0.1612%, 5-Yr is up 0bps at 0.8178%, 10-Yr is down 0.7bps at 1.5693%, and 30-Yr is down 1bps at 2.2595%.

To read the full story

Close

Why MNI

MNI is the leading provider

of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.

Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.