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Risk Parity Strategy Takes a Knock as Correlations Break down

US
  • A benchmark of risk parity, the systematic investment method pioneered by Ray Dalio, has dropped 3% in the past four days.
  • The strategy, which seeks to spread risk by allocating to different assets based on their volatility, has been upended as investments like stocks and bonds increasingly move in lockstep.
  • Like many multi-asset trades, risk parity depends on those two asset classes in particular hedging one another.
  • That hit a snag this week when higher-than-expected U.S. inflation spurred fears that rising rates could hurt a slew of investments.
  • After more than a decade mostly in negative territory, the 60-day correlation between Treasuries and the S&P 500 Index has now reached the highest since 1999
  • Bond declines tend to raise more alarm for risk-parity strategies, which typically have above-average allocations to debt owing to its lower volatility.
  • In this view, the selloff in Treasuries this year has been especially concerning because it signals investors are demanding higher yields after a decade of falling rates.
  • With stocks also slumping in the first half of the week, the $1.2 billion RPAR Risk Parity ETF posted its worst three days since March 2020.
  • Inflows to the fund have faltered recently after it lured cash almost every single week last year.


MNI London Bureau | +44 020-3983-7894 | murray.nichol@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 020-3983-7894 | murray.nichol@marketnews.com

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