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SAGBs Firm at the Outset, 10Y Pulls Back from 9.90

SOUTH AFRICA
  • SAGBs trade a fraction firmer this morning, having gained some ground in yesterday's more positive session.
  • 5 & 10Y yields were most bid on the day, falling 7.6bp & 3.0bp respectively. 9.90 resistance held in the 10Y, with an eye on 9.80 support below.
  • Similarly, the 30Y pulled back from 10.95, but will need to cross 10.80 to establish a more comprehensive move lower.
  • Calls for the MTBPS to be delayed to 11 Nov will be monitored.
  • Nevertheless, SA's more improved fiscal picture may start to show in bond markets leading up to the meeting with analysts expecting a large revenue windfall from elevated commodity profits.
  • SA's 5Y CDS continues to trend lower following the 06 Oct peak at 226 – next major support seen at 202.54.

MNI London Bureau | +44 020-3983-7894 | murray.nichol@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 020-3983-7894 | murray.nichol@marketnews.com

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