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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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Get the latest on Central Bank Policy and FX & FI Markets to help inform both your strategic and tactical decision-making.
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Soft German CPI Figures Set Bullish Tone
Softer-than-expected German state CPI data have helped set a positive tone for Bunds and global FI more broadly in Tuesday's European morning session.
- With states representing just under 90% of the national weighting of CPI having reported, MNI estimates the national German reading to come in at 8.55% Y/Y, below the 9.0% consensus coming into the session.
- Accordingly, Gilt and US Treasury yields have fallen sharply in their first trading day of 2023.
- Curves have bull flattened.
- Fairly limited data left in the rest of the session beyond German CPI, with final Dec US PMI and Nov Construction spending on the docket.
Latest levels:
- Mar 10-Yr futures (TY) up 23/32 at 113-0.5 (L: 112-12.5 / H: 113-02)
- Mar Bund futures (RX) up 106 ticks at 135.38 (L: 133.79 / H: 135.55)
- Mar Gilt futures (G) up 160 ticks at 101.5 (L: 99.97 / H: 101.63)
- Italy / German 10-Yr spread 2.2bps tighter at 209.8bps
To read the full story
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.