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Summary – August 12

LATAM
  • The BCB will release its Focus survey on Monday, with eyes on the latest inflation and Selic rate forecasts. Meanwhile, the BCCh will publish its economist survey, including analyst forecasts for interest rates. Elsewhere, Mexico and Colombia July consumer confidence will cross. In the US, there are no notable speakers on the docket today, while on the data front, the focus this week will be on US inflation data due Wednesday.
  • Global news:
    • US / CHINA - The recently established US-China Financial Working Group is set to meet for discussions about financial stability and curbing the flow of fentanyl. A group of senior Biden administration officials is traveling to Shanghai this week for a round of high-level meetings intended to keep the economic relationship between the United States and China on stable footing amid mounting trade tensions between the two countries.
    • CHINA - At least four Chinese brokerages have started fresh measures to cut back trading of domestic government bonds beginning last week, people familiar with the matter said. The brokers reduced the trading of sovereign debt with one of them even suspending transactions in some maturities, the people said. While most of the firms called it a voluntary move, one person said the change came following guidance from the authorities.
    • COMMODITIES - Copper extended its rebound from the lowest close in five months as fears over a possible global recession eased. The metal rose late last week following signs of resilience in the US labour market, paring a fifth week of losses driven by fears rippling through global markets over worsening economies including the world’s biggest. Sentiment improved further on Monday with markets shifting focus to key US data prints this week.
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  • The BCB will release its Focus survey on Monday, with eyes on the latest inflation and Selic rate forecasts. Meanwhile, the BCCh will publish its economist survey, including analyst forecasts for interest rates. Elsewhere, Mexico and Colombia July consumer confidence will cross. In the US, there are no notable speakers on the docket today, while on the data front, the focus this week will be on US inflation data due Wednesday.
  • Global news:
    • US / CHINA - The recently established US-China Financial Working Group is set to meet for discussions about financial stability and curbing the flow of fentanyl. A group of senior Biden administration officials is traveling to Shanghai this week for a round of high-level meetings intended to keep the economic relationship between the United States and China on stable footing amid mounting trade tensions between the two countries.
    • CHINA - At least four Chinese brokerages have started fresh measures to cut back trading of domestic government bonds beginning last week, people familiar with the matter said. The brokers reduced the trading of sovereign debt with one of them even suspending transactions in some maturities, the people said. While most of the firms called it a voluntary move, one person said the change came following guidance from the authorities.
    • COMMODITIES - Copper extended its rebound from the lowest close in five months as fears over a possible global recession eased. The metal rose late last week following signs of resilience in the US labour market, paring a fifth week of losses driven by fears rippling through global markets over worsening economies including the world’s biggest. Sentiment improved further on Monday with markets shifting focus to key US data prints this week.