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of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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Free Access*** TD Securities addressing......>
FED FUNDS FUTURES: *** TD Securities addressing today's rally in 2021 FF futures
pricing in negative rates (strip still trading +0.045 to +0.060 currently vs.
+0.070 high). TD advising customers to fade the rally as move NOT "justified by
fundamentals as FOMC members have repeatedly stated that they do not expect to
take rates negative." Markets my be experiencing "a repositioning or short
squeeze" much like what happened in oil futures recently serial markets traded
deeply negative. "Even in a more dire economic scenario, the Fed would likely
favor YCC or forward guidance rather than negative rates (which affect money
funds and banks)" TD said, and expect the "Fed to push back against negative
rates in upcoming remarks." TD looks to sell FFN1 at 100.035 (sector had tapped
100.045 earlier, +0.070 on day).
To read the full story
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.