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Free AccessThe UK Debt Management.........>
GILT AUCTION PREVIEW: The UK Debt Management Office (DMO) sells a new 10-year
benchmark, Gilt 1.625% Oct-28 Gilt Thursday for Stg2.5bln in size.
- BACKGROUND: The Bank of England is in the midst of a period of asset purchases
but otherwise there are no coupon/redemption payments. The Apr/Oct coupon
payment cycle is a newbie.
- RV: There is nearly exactly one year of additional duration to the existing
benchmark, the Jul-27 and this is worth around 12bp at this section of the
curve. If anything, the Gilt 1.25% Jul-27 is fairly cheap on the curve so FV
roll should be close to or a little lower than 12bp. The 10Y spread to Bunds is
trading in the middle of the range but Gilts look very expensive to UST 10Y. The
2-10Y Gilt curve is extremely flat, with the narrowest spread since 2016 and so
extension trades are unlikely to assist this auction.
- HISTORY: By comparison, at the last 10Y auction, the DMO sold at an average
yield of 1.288% with cover of 2.38 times and tail of 0.1bp.
- TIMING: Results are due to be announced around 1035GMT
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.