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Free AccessTreasuries slide more amid 30Y, 10Y.....>
US TSYS/30Y: Treasuries slide more amid 30Y, 10Y selling into 30Y auction. BMO's
Aaron Kohli noted 30Y bond auction "is a bit more insulated from the current
hawkish Fed rhetoric and a hike with promises of more to come could only help
the curve flatten. Only a miss on CPI or a less hawkish Fed are likely to cause
the bond to durably underperform. That's mostly because we believe that the
market will see strength in CPI as encouraging the Fed in the near-term while
not materially changing the longer-run trajectory of low-flation. 'Til that
changes, we expect strength in CPI to further flatten the curve even if it does
raise yields marginally."
- He adds "Fed will not be buying at this auction" as nothing maturing in SOMA
acct; 30Y " rarely trades special in repo so this could have less of an impact."
- But he warns 30Y was building "slight concession since late last week but
"looks rich on an outright yld basis. The long-bond still looks rich on most
curves" amid "broad flattening bias" of "last few months. We see the flattening
as likely to persist in 2018 and would use any near-term steepening as an
opportunity to enter the trade."
To read the full story
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.