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BRIEF: ECB's Panetta-Time To Start Thinking Of NGEU Successor
TTF Eases Back After Surging on LNG Supply Risks
TTF has pulled back after front month surged to a high of 37.59€/MWh yesterday driven by rising risks to shipping and offsetting the warm weather in December, strong wind power output in Germany, and healthy near-term supplies.
- TTF JAN 24 down -4.3% at 34€/MWh
- TTF Q1 24 down -4.1% at 34.23€/MWh
- TTF SUM 24 down -3.5% at 34.1€/MWh
- TTF WIN 24 down -3.1% at 39.25€/MWh
- Companies such as BP and Equinor diverting their cargoes has sparked fears for supply passing through the key chokepoint. Three LNG carriers have diverted away from the Bab al-Mandab strait amid Houthi attacks on vessels in the region, according to Argus yesterday.
- Above normal temperatures in NW and central Europe are expected to continue until the end of December.
- European natural gas storage was down to 88.36% full on Dec 17 according to GIE data amid smaller than normal withdrawal rates and compared to the seasonal five year average of 77.3%.
- European LNG sendout was unchanged at 407mcm/d on Dec 17 but remains below levels around 480mcm/d this time last year.
- Pipeline supplies into Europe from Norway are up near the yearly high at 358.5mcm/d today.
- Gas transit flows through Ukraine are at 42.4mcm/d today and Algeria gas flow to Italy at Mazara are down slightly to 53.7mcm/d.
- ICE TTF daily aggregate traded futures volumes were yesterday up at 357k.
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.