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Unit Labor Costs Look Less Inflationary After Revisions

US DATA

Very large revisions to Unit Labor Costs published by the BLS today make the past 2 quarters look less worrisome from an inflation perspective. From the BLS report:

  • For Q4 2022: Hourly compensation was revised down from the previously reported increase of 4.9 percent to a decrease of 0.7 percent, due entirely to a downward revision to compensation. (Productivity estimate was unchanged.)
  • For Q1 2023: Unit labor costs increased 4.2 percent rather than increasing 6.3 percent as previously reported, reflecting a 1.3-percentage point downward revision to hourly compensation and a 0.6-percentage point upward revision to labor productivity.
  • See chart below for current estimates of ULCs and pre-revisions.

ULCs for Nonfarm BusinessSource: BLS, BBG, MNI

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