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MNI US Macro Weekly: Politics To The Fore
US$ Credit Supply Pipeline
$11.1B high grade corporate debt to price Tuesday
- Date $MM Issuer (Priced *, Launch #)
- $11.1B to Price Tuesday
- 1/9 $5B *KFW +5Y +42
- 1/9 $3B #T-Mobile $1B 5Y +90, $1.25B +10Y +117, $750M 31Y +130 (historical comparison: issued $8.5B total over three dates in 2023. T-Mobile, and most other cell companies for that matter, are in the top 20 largest all-time corporate debt issuers, T-Mobile issued $19B spanning 5 tranches on April 2, 2020.
- 1/9 $850M #Liberty Utilities $500M 5Y +160, $350M 10Y +185
- 1/9 $650B #MassMutual 5Y +188
- 1/9 $600M *Corebridge Global Funding 5Y +123
- 1/9 $500M #Penske 3Y +125
- 1/9 $500M #Protective Life 3Y +85a
- Expected Wednesday:
- 1/10 $Benchmark OKB 5Y SOFR+48a
- 1/10 $Benchmark Province of Ontario 5Y SOFR+58a
- 1/10 $Benchmark Sumitomo Life PerpNC10 Investor calls
- 1/10 $Benchmark Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank (AIIB) 5Y SOFR+56a
- $28.4B Priced Monday, led by Saudi Arabia's $12B 3pt US$ issuance, the largest issuer since May of 2023 when Pfizer issued $31B over 8 tranches. Incidentally, Saudi Arabia issued $6B Sukuk over two tranches in May'23 as well: $3B 6Y +80, $3B 10Y +100.
- 1/8 $12B *Saudi Arabia $3.25B 6Y +90, $4B 10Y +110, $4.75B 30Y +170
- 1/8 $3.75B *Mercedes Benz 5pt: $700M 2Y +55, $650M 2Y SOFR+67, $800M 3Y +70, $850M 5Y +90, $750M 10Y +100
- 1/8 $2.55B *BPCE $650M 3Y +108, $1B 6NC5 +175, $900M 11NC10 +250
- 1/8 $2B *Australia & New Zealand Banking Group $1.2B 3Y +63, $800M 3Y SOFR+81
- 1/8 $2B *American Honda 3pt: $850M 2Y +60, $400M 2Y SOFR+71, $750M 10Y +93
- 1/8 $1.5B *SK Hynix $500M 3Y +145, $1B 5Y +167
- 1/8 $1.4B *Southern California Edison $500M 3Y +75, $900M 10Y +120
- 1/8 $700M *RGA Global Funding 7Y +160
- 1/8 $1.25B *Realty Income Group 5Y +95, 10Y +125
- 1/8 $750M *National Grid 10Y +142
- 1/8 $500M *Principle Life 3Y +90
- 1/5 No new high grade corporate issuance Friday, this after $20.5B high grade corporate debt priced Thursday, $80.6B total for the week: healthy, but well off the $94.775B priced in the first week of 2023.
- $20.5B Priced Thursday
- 1/4 $5B *EIB 5Y SOFR+44
- 1/4 $5B *Asia Development Bank (ADP) 3Y SOFR+35, 10Y SOFR+59
- 1/4 $2.25B *BP Capital $1.25B +5Y +73, $1B +10Y +100
- 1/4 $1.5B *AerCap $800M 5Y +140, $700M 10Y +160
- 1/4 $1.5B *Standard Chartered 11NC10 +210
- 1/4 $1.25B *Bimbo Bakeries $450M 2029 Tap +115, $800M 12Y +150
- 1/4 $1B *New York Life 10Y +100
- 1/4 $750M *Athene 5Y +160
- 1/4 $750M *Bank of Nova Scotia 60NC5 8%
- 1/4 $500M *Columbia Pipelines WNG 10Y +168
- 1/4 $500M *Sun Communities 5Y +155
- 1/4 $500M *Essential Utilities 10Y +140
- $23.8B Price Wednesday, $60.6B in first two days of 2024.
- 1/3 $5B *World Bank 7Y SOFR+55
- 1/3 $3.8B #Pacificorp $500M 5Y +120, $700M 7Y +140, $1.1B 10Y +155, $1.5B +30Y +175
- 1/3 $3.25B #National Australia Bank (NAB) $1B -2Y +53, $500M -2Y SOFR+65, $1B 5Y +90, $750M 10Y +105
- 1/3 $2.5B #Hyundai $1B 3Y +130, $300M 3Y SOFR+150, $700M 5Y +145, $500M 7Y +155
- 1/3 $2.5B #Credit Agricole $1B 6NC5 +145, $1.5B 11NC10 +235
- 1/3 $2.5B *Hungary 12Y +180
- 1/3 $2.05B *Indonesia $500M +5Y 4.65%, $650M +10Y 4.85%, $900M +30Y 5.2%
- 1/3 $1B *Duke Energy Carolinas $575M 10Y +100, $425M 30Y +118
- 1/3 $700M *GA Global Funding 5Y +175
- 1/3 $500M *Northwestern Mutual 5Y +80
- $36.8B Priced Tuesday, surpassing 2022's year opener of $33.5B
- 1/2 $7.5B *United Mexican States $1B 5Y +115, $4B 12Y +215, $2.5B 30Y +235
- 1/2 $4B *UBS $1.75B 6NC5 +152, $2.25B 11NC10 +177 (6NC5 SOFR leg dropped)
- 1/2 $3.8B *Lloyds $1.5B 4NC3 +137.5, $300M 4NC3 SOFR+158, $2B 11NC10 +175
- 1/2 $3B *Toyota $900M 2Y +50, $500M 2Y SOFR+65, $800M 5Y +75, $800M 10Y +87.5
- 1/2 $2.5B *Ford Motors $1.5B 3Y +175, $1B 7Y +215 (3Y SOFR leg dropped)
- 1/2 $2.25B *Rabobank $1B 2Y +55, $750M 2Y SOFR+71, $500M 5Y +90
- 1/2 $2.1B *Williams Cos $1.1B 5Y +102, $1B 10Y +122
- 1/2 $2B *Enterprise Products $1B each 3Y +55, 10Y +95
- 1/2 $1.75B *BNP Paribas 6NC5 +125
- 1/2 $1.75B *John Deere $750M 3Y +45, $1B 3Y SOFR, 5Y +62.5
- 1/2 $1.3B *MetLife $750M 5Y +93, $550M 10Y +113
- 1/2 $1.1B *Duke Energy $550M each: 3Y +7, 5Y +95
- 1/2 $1B *Virginia Electric $500M each 10Y +115, 30Y +127
- 1/2 $1B *Santander Holdings 6NC5 +225
- 1/2 $650M *PPL Electric 10Y +92
- 1/2 $600M *Consumers Energy 5Y +73
- 1/2 $500M *Caterpillar 3Y +45
Total high grade issuance for 2023 at $1.438T - compares to $1.294T total for 2022. Look for issuance to remain tepid into the start of 2024, partially due to next quarterly earnings cycle that starts in the second full week of January.
January kicked off 2023 with total of $231.425B high-grade corporate issuance, highest since March '22.
Total 2022 high-grade corporate US$ issuance at $1.284T, well off $1.879T in 2021 and record $2.196T for 2020
Dec'23 | $28.1B, $268.1B Q4. Running total for 2023: $1.438T |
Nov'23 | $131.7B |
Oct'23 | $108.3B |
Sep'23 | $165.25B; $348.775B Q3 |
Aug'23 | $79.45B |
Jul'23 | $104.075B |
Jun'23 | $113.195B; $403.605B Q2 |
May'23 | $168.22B |
Apr'23 | $122.19B |
Mar'23 | $122.05B; $540.175B Q1 |
Feb'23 | $186.7B |
Jan'23 | $231.425B |
Dec'22 | $7.75B; $1.294T total for 2022 |
Nov'22 | $115.9B |
Oct'22 | $51.85B |
Sep'22 | $105.25B; $1.287T through Q3 |
Aug'22 | $168.5B |
Jul'22 | $100.6B |
Jun'22 | $80.85B; $913.58B first half of 2022 |
May'22 | $103.225B |
Apr'22 | $175.2B |
Mar'22 | $258.425B (Highest since May 2020) |
Feb'22 | $92.62B |
Jan'22 | $203.26B |
Dec'21 | $62.2B vs. $52.24B Dec'20 total; Q4 total $344.875B; $782.51B H2 2021 |
Nov'21 | $133.875B |
Oct'21 | $148.8B |
Sep'21 | $215.635B; Q3 total $437.64B |
Aug'21 | $97.12B |
Jul'21 | $124.885B |
Jun'21 | $136.35B; Q2 total $478.875B |
May'21 | $159.125B |
Apr'21 | $183.4B |
Mar'21 | $232.62B; Q1 total $618.03B |
Feb'21 | $157.86B |
Jan'21 | $227.55B |
2020 Recap: | Record $2.196T |
Dec'20 | $52.24B; $796.54B H2 2020 |
Nov'20 | $126.83B |
Oct'20 | $111.65B |
Sep'20 | $207.82B |
Aug'20 | $204.50B |
Jul'20 | $93.50B |
Jun'20 | $180.50B; Record $1.40T H2 2020 |
May'20 | $270.90B |
Apr'20 | $401.32B |
Mar'20 | $275.48B |
Feb'20 | $107.50B |
Jan'20 | $165.18B |
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.