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Free AccessUS Data: Highlights of MNI Survey of Economic Forecasts
Repeats Story Initially Transmitted at 21:06 GMT Sep 28/17:06 EST Sep 28
WASHINGTON (MNI) - The following are highlights of forecasts for
upcoming U.S. economic indicators provided by participants in the MNI
weekly survey. The comment section presents the key elements behind the
median forecasts.
Personal Income for August (percent change)
Friday, September 29 at 8:30 a.m. ET Actual:
Median Range Aug17 Jul17 Jun17
Income +0.2% +0.1% to +0.3% -- +0.4% Flat
Spending +0.1% Flat to +0.2% -- +0.3% +0.2%
Core Prices +0.2% +0.1% to +0.2% -- +0.1% +0.1%
Comments: Personal income is expected to rise a more modest 0.2% in
August, as payrolls rose by only 156,000, average weekly hours slipped
to 34.4 hours and hourly earnings rose a modest 0.1%. Current dollar PCE
is forecast to tick up by 0.1%, as retail sales fell 0.2% in the month
and were up only 0.2% excluding a 1.6% decline in motor vehicle sales.
Core retail sales (also ex. gas) were down 0.1% in the month, while
sales excluding autos, gas, building materials and food services fell
0.2%, indicating underlying weakness partially resulting from the
hurricanes. The core PCE price index is expected to post a 0.2% increase
in August, reflecting the stronger CPI gain. The year/year gain should
remain below 2%.
MNI Chicago Report for September (index)
Friday, September 29 at 9:45 a.m. ET Actual:
Median Range Sep17 Aug17 Jul17
MNI Chicago 59.0 58.0 to 60.0 -- 58.9 58.9
Comments: The MNI Chicago PMI is expected to rise modestly to a
reading of 59.0 in September after holding steady at 58.9 in August.
Other regional data already released suggest solid growth.
University of Michigan Survey for September (final)
Friday, September 29 at 10:00 a.m. ET Actual:
Median Range Sep17f Sep17p Aug17
Consumer Sent 95.3 94.5 to 96.0 -- 95.3 96.8
Comments: The Michigan Sentiment index is expected to be unrevised
from the 95.3 preliminary estimate, with a downside risk as further hurricane
impacts should be seen.
--MNI Washington Bureau; +1 202-371-2121; email: holly.stokes@marketnews.com
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.