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Free AccessUS Data: Highlights of MNI Survey of Economic Forecasts
WASHINGTON (MNI) - The following are highlights of forecasts for
upcoming U.S. economic indicators provided by participants in the MNI
weekly survey. The comment section presents the key elements behind the
median forecasts.
Housing Starts for February (annual rate, million)
Friday, March 16 at 8:30 a.m. ET Actual:
Median Range Feb18 Jan18 Dec17
Starts 1.287m 1.230m to 1.345m -- 1.326m 1.209m
Comments: The seasonally adjusted pace of housing starts is
expected to pull back to a 1.287 million annual rate in February after
surging in January. The NAHB index was revised down to 71 in February
after 72 in January.
Industrial Production for February (percent change)
Friday, March 16 at 9:15 a.m. ET Actual:
Median Range Feb18 Jan18 Dec17
Ind Prod +0.4% Flat to +0.8% -- -0.1% +0.4%
Cap Util 77.8% 77.4% to 78.1% -- 77.5% 77.7%
Comments: Industrial production is expected to rise 0.4% in
February after a 0.1% decline in the previous month, with manufacturing
production expected to post a modest increase. Factory payrolls rose by
31,000 in February, while auto production jobs rose by 6,000 and the
factory workweek lengthened to 41.0 hours from 40.8 hours in January.
The ISM production index fell to 62.0 in the current month from 64.5 in
the previous month. Utilities production is expected to slip in the
month after a 0.6% January gain, as the weather was warmer than usual
across most of the US. Mining production is forecast to finally advance
after posting declines in the previous two months despite a rising rig
count in January. Capacity utilization is forecast to rise to 77.8% from
77.5% in January.
University of Michigan Survey for March (preliminary)
Friday, March 16 at 10:00 a.m. ET Actual:
Median Range Mar18p Feb18 Jan18
Consumer Sent 99.0 97.5 to 101.0 -- 99.7 95.7
Comments: The University of Michigan Sentiment index is expected to
dip to 99.0 in early-March from 99.7 in February, reflecting some of the
recent market volatility.
--MNI Washington Bureau; +1 202-371-2121; email: holly.stokes@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: M$U$$$]
To read the full story
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.