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US Data: Highlights of MNI Survey of Economic Forecasts

Repeats Story Initially Transmitted at 21:06 GMT Sep 11/17:06 EST Sep 11
WASHINGTON (MNI) - The following are highlights of market expectations 
for upcoming U.S. economic indicators. 
          Consumer Price Index (percent change)
 Thursday, September 12 at 8:30 a.m. ET                    Actual:        
                         Median                       Aug19 Jul19  Jun19 
CPI                      +0.1%                          --  +0.1%  +0.3% 
Core CPI                 +0.2%                          --  +0.3%  +0.3%
          Comments: Headline CPI is likely to continue rising at the 
unchanged rate of +0.1%. Core CPI is expected to cool off slightly and 
slow from +0.3% to +0.2%.  
          Jobless Claims (thousands)
 Thursday, September 5 at 10:00 a.m. ET                     Actual:        
                 Median                               Sep7  Aug31  Aug24    
 Claims          215k                                  --   217k    215k
          Comments: Jobless claims are expected to fall slightly to 215k.
Continued low levels of claims suggest solid employment growth will 
continue.
          Retail Sales (percent change)
Friday, September 13 at 8:30 a.m. ET                       Actual:        
                            Median                    Aug19 Jul19  Jun19
Retail Sales                 +0.2%                     --   +0.7%  +0.3% 
ex. motor vehicle            +0.1%                     --   +1.0%  +0.3% 
ex. motor vehicle, gas       +0.2%                     --   +0.9%  +0.6%
          Comments: Recording general declines since April, retail sales are 
expected to slow further to an estimated 0.2% in August from 0.7% in 
July. Excluding motor vehicles, sales could slow to 0.1% from 
1% in July. Excluding motor vehicles and gas, sales are expected to fall 
to 0.2% from 0.9%. 
          Treasury Balance (billions)
 Thursday, September 12 at 2:00 p.m. ET                    Actual:        
                         Median                     Aug19  Jul19   Jun19 
Balance                -$195.0b                      --  -$119.7b -$8.5b
          Comments: The Treasury balance continues to widen, jumping to a 
high deficit of -$195 billion in August from -$119.7 billion, which 
would be the largest deficit since April 2019.
          Import Prices (percent change)
 Friday, September 13 at 8:30 a.m. ET                     Actual:        
                            Median                Aug19   Jul19    Jun19
Imports                       -0.5%                --     +0.2%    -0.9% 
          Comments: Import prices are expected to decline by 0.5% in August 
after rising +0.2% in July amid geopolitical tensions and tariff woes. 
          Business Inventories (percent change)
 Friday, September 13 at 9:30 a.m. ET                     Actual:        
               Median                                  Aug19 Jul19 Jun19 
Inventories     +0.3%                                   --    Flat -0.3%
          Comments: Business inventories are projected to rebound, growing 
+0.3% in August after a flat reading in July.
          Michigan Consumer Sentiment (index)                        
 Friday, September 13 at 10:00 a.m. ET                    Actual:    
                Median                              Sep19p Aug19f Jul19f  
Percent          +90.8                                --    +89.8  +98.4
          Comments: Amid trade headwinds and recession fears, the Michigan 
Consumer Sentiment index is slated to rise to 90.8 from 89.8in August. 
--MNI Washington Bureau; +1 202 371 2121; email: alexandra.kelley@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE]

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