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Free AccessUS Data: NY Federal Reserve Consumer Expectations Survey>
Data For: February 2019
Source: NY Federal Reserve Consumer Expectation Survey
Units are either median percent change or median probability
Pct Change Pct Change 1-Yr Pct Chg 1-Yr Pct Chg
1-yr infl 3-yr infl Gas Food
Oct18 3.00 3.00 4.54 4.54
Nov18 2.97 2.88 4.18 4.32
Dec18 3.00 2.98 3.66 4.24
Jan19 2.97 2.97 4.23 4.52
Feb19 2.79 2.77 4.29 4.40
1-Yr Pct Chg 1-Yr Pct Chg 1-Yr Pct Chg 1-Yr Pct Chg
Medical College Rent Gold
Oct18 7.76 5.92 5.44 2.51
Nov18 9.14 6.25 5.38 2.21
Dec18 9.02 5.94 5.27 2.10
Jan19 8.31 5.94 5.40 2.73
Feb19 7.48 5.87 5.31 2.71
1-yr Household1-yr Household 1-yr Change
Pct Growth In Pct Growth InIncome Growth Spending Growt In Taxes
Home Prices Earnings Pct Change Pct Change Pct Change
Oct18 3.26 2.45 2.91 3.69 2.39
Nov18 3.05 2.02 2.95 3.49 2.68
Dec18 3.00 2.48 2.91 3.50 2.62
Jan19 3.00 2.43 2.81 3.01 2.73
Feb19 3.00 2.45 2.47 3.10 2.52
Probability Of Probability Of
Higher Unemp Higher Stock 1-yr Govt
Rates 1-yr Prices 1-yr Debt Growth
From Now From Now Pct Change
Oct18 35.14 41.59 6.37
Nov18 35.76 39.82 7.77
Dec18 38.83 39.62 6.15
Jan19 40.64 40.37 9.05
Feb19 37.19 42.03 7.67
Probability Of The Following Occurring
Job Voluntary Job Finding Change In Home
Separation Separation In 3 Months Next 12 Mos
Oct18 13.52 20.75 58.69 18.16
Nov18 14.66 22.77 58.59 18.82
Dec18 13.83 21.13 58.79 18.46
Jan19 14.50 21.43 59.23 18.58
Feb19 14.55 21.21 59.24 18.98
Probability Of Probability Of
Unable To Make Higher Savings
Minimum Payment Acct Interest Rates
Next 3 Mos 1-yr From Now
Oct18 12.73 38.40
Nov18 12.04 37.27
Dec18 12.01 37.89
Jan19 12.01 37.01
Feb19 10.90 34.78
Credit Availability Compared With Year Ago
Much Somewhat Equally Somewhat Much
Harder Harder Easy/Hard Easier Easier
Oct18 4.60 23.68 45.18 23.34 3.21
Nov18 4.73 24.28 44.95 22.82 3.22
Dec18 6.32 23.14 42.52 24.12 3.90
Jan19 5.46 26.01 44.06 21.27 3.31
Feb19 4.33 25.50 47.60 19.56 3.02
Credit Availability Seen Year From Now
Much Somewhat Equally Somewhat Much
Harder Harder Easy/Hard Easier Easier
Oct18 5.09 25.56 46.78 20.21 2.37
Nov18 5.97 25.37 46.12 19.70 2.84
Dec18 6.34 28.53 43.36 18.59 3.18
Jan19 6.13 29.92 45.84 14.73 3.38
Feb19 4.15 28.39 48.47 16.87 2.13
Household Finances Compared With Year Ago
Much Somewhat About Somewhat Much
Worse Off Worse Off The Same Better Off Better Off
Oct18 1.73 15.54 45.58 30.49 6.66
Nov18 1.69 16.53 46.14 29.42 6.23
Dec18 3.33 17.07 43.75 30.45 5.39
Jan19 1.76 18.12 46.64 28.09 5.40
Feb19 1.70 16.08 46.08 30.47 5.66
Household Finances Seen Year From Now
Much Somewhat About Somewhat Much
Worse Off Worse Off The Same Better Off Better Off
Oct18 1.41 9.61 47.44 33.87 7.67
Nov18 1.37 11.17 44.94 35.96 6.57
Dec18 1.07 11.90 46.38 33.39 7.27
Jan19 0.63 14.27 46.51 32.16 6.43
Feb19 1.10 12.07 44.73 33.94 8.16
[TOPICS: MAUDA$,MTABLE]
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.