US Data: NY Federal Reserve Consumer Expectations Survey>

Data For: March 2019

Source: NY Federal Reserve Consumer Expectation Survey

Units are either median percent change or median probability

         Pct Change     Pct Change   1-Yr Pct Chg   1-Yr Pct Chg

          1-yr infl      3-yr infl            Gas           Food

Nov18          2.97           2.88           4.18           4.32

Dec18          3.00           2.98           3.66           4.24

Jan19          2.97           2.97           4.23           4.52

Feb19          2.79           2.77           4.29           4.40

Mar19          2.82           2.86           4.73           4.30

       1-Yr Pct Chg   1-Yr Pct Chg   1-Yr Pct Chg   1-Yr Pct Chg

            Medical        College           Rent           Gold

Nov18          9.14           6.25           5.38           2.21

Dec18          9.02           5.94           5.27           2.10

Jan19          8.31           5.94           5.40           2.73

Feb19          7.48           5.87           5.31           2.71

Mar19          7.52           5.78           5.30           2.90

                                   1-yr Household 1-yr Household    1-yr Change

      Pct Growth In Pct  Growth In  Income Growth Spending Growth      In Taxes

        Home Prices       Earnings     Pct Change     Pct Change     Pct Change

Nov18          3.05           2.02           2.95           3.49           2.68

Dec18          3.00           2.48           2.91           3.50           2.62

Jan19          3.00           2.43           2.81           3.01           2.73

Feb19          3.00           2.45           2.47           3.10           2.52

Mar19          3.00           2.62           2.81           3.10           2.83

     Probability Of Probability Of

       Higher Unemp   Higher Stock      1-yr Govt

         Rates 1-yr    Prices 1-yr    Debt Growth

           From Now       From Now     Pct Change

Nov18         35.76          39.82           7.77

Dec18         38.83          39.62           6.15

Jan19         40.64          40.37           9.05

Feb19         37.19          42.03           7.67

Mar19         37.16          41.44           8.80

                    Probability Of The Following Occurring

                Job      Voluntary    Job Finding Change In Home

         Separation     Separation    In 3 Months    Next 12 Mos

Nov18         14.66          22.77          58.59          18.82

Dec18         13.83          21.13          58.79          18.46

Jan19         14.50          21.43          59.23          18.58

Feb19         14.55          21.21          59.24          18.98

Mar19         14.29          21.77          58.55          21.72

     Probability Of                Probability Of

     Unable To Make                Higher Savings

     Minimum Payment               Acct Interest Rates

         Next 3 Mos                 1-yr From Now

Nov18         12.04                         37.27

Dec18         12.01                         37.89

Jan19         12.01                         37.01

Feb19         10.90                         34.78

Mar19         11.59                         34.76

                                   Credit Availability Compared With Year Ago

               Much       Somewhat        Equally       Somewhat           Much

             Harder         Harder      Easy/Hard         Easier         Easier

Nov18          4.73          24.28          44.95          22.82           3.22

Dec18          6.32          23.14          42.52          24.12           3.90

Jan19          5.46          26.01          44.06          21.27           3.31

Feb19          4.33          25.50          47.60          19.56           3.02

Mar19          4.80          24.08          47.41          20.01           3.70

                                   Credit Availability Seen Year From Now

               Much       Somewhat        Equally       Somewhat           Much

             Harder         Harder      Easy/Hard         Easier         Easier

Nov18          5.97          25.37          46.12          19.70           2.84

Dec18          6.34          28.53          43.36          18.59           3.18

Jan19          6.13          29.92          45.84          14.73           3.38

Feb19          4.15          28.39          48.47          16.87           2.13

Mar19          4.82          27.43          48.52          16.86           2.38

                                   Household Finances Compared With Year Ago

               Much       Somewhat          About       Somewhat           Much

          Worse Off      Worse Off       The Same     Better Off     Better Off

Nov18          1.69          16.53          46.14          29.42           6.23

Dec18          3.33          17.07          43.75          30.45           5.39

Jan19          1.76          18.12          46.64          28.09           5.40

Feb19          1.70          16.08          46.08          30.47           5.66

Mar19          1.66          14.49          48.33          28.43           7.10

                                   Household Finances Seen Year From Now

               Much       Somewhat          About       Somewhat           Much

          Worse Off      Worse Off       The Same     Better Off     Better Off

Nov18          1.37          11.17          44.94          35.96           6.57

Dec18          1.07          11.90          46.38          33.39           7.27

Jan19          0.63          14.27          46.51          32.16           6.43

Feb19          1.10          12.07          44.73          33.94           8.16

Mar19          0.22          12.47          46.48          34.31           6.53

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