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Free AccessMNI China Daily Summary: Monday, November 25
US Data: Recap of Economic Indicators
Repeats Story Initially Transmitted at 21:06 GMT Sep 18/17:06 EST Sep 18
Sep-19 Aug-19 Jul-19 Jun-19 May-19 Apr-19 Mar-19
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
UI Claims/4wk avg
wk 1 204/213 211/213 208/219 219/215 228/220 197/207 224/220
wk 2 221/214 216/219 222/218 212/225 193/201 216/220
wk 3 211/215 207/213 217/219 212/221 230/206 212/217
wk 4 216/215 217/212 229/222 218/217 230/212 204/214
wk 5 219/217 211/213 222/223
Nonfarm Payrolls +130k +164k +193k +62k +216k +153k
Private Payrolls +96k +148k +179k +81k +195k +153k
Mfg Payroll +3k +16k +12k +2k +3k -3k
Unemployment 3.7% 3.7% 3.7% 3.6% 3.6% 3.8%
Avg Wkly Hours 34.4 34.3 34.4 34.4 34.4 34.5
Avg Hours - Mfg 40.6 40.4 40.7 40.6 40.6 40.7
Aggr Hours Index +0.4% -0.2% +0.2% +0.1% -0.2% +0.5%
Aggr Hrs Index -
Mfg +0.5% -0.6% +0.3% +0.1% -0.2% -0.1%
+0.3% +0.3% +0.3% +0.1% +0.2%
Final Demand PPI +0.1% +0.2% +0.1% +0.1% +0.2% +0.6%
excl food &
energy +0.3% -0.1% +0.3% +0.2% +0.1% +0.3%
excl food,
energy, trade +0.4% -0.1% Flat +0.4% +0.4% Flat
CPI +0.1% +0.3% +0.1% +0.1% +0.3% +0.4%
excl food &
energy +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1%
Import Prices -0.5% +0.2% -0.9% Flat +0.2% +0.6%
non-petro import
prices 0.0 Flat -0.4% -0.3% -0.5% Flat
ISM Mfg Prices Pd
Index 45.1 47.9 53.2 50.0 54.3
PCE Price Index
M/M +0.2% +0.1% +0.1% +0.3% +0.2%
PCE Price Index
Y/Y +1.4% +1.4% +1.4% +1.5% +1.4%
Core PCE Price
Index M/M +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% +0.2% +0.1%
Core PCE Price
Index Y/Y +1.6% +1.6% +1.5% +1.5% +1.5%
Treasury Budget
(bn) -$200.3 -$119.7 -$8.5 -$207.8 +$160.3
Consumer Credit
(bn) +$23.3 +$13.8 +$17.1 +$17.5 +$11.0
CB Consumer
Confidence 135.1 135.8 124.3 131.3 129.2 124.2
Consumer
Sentiment 89.8 98.4 98.2 100.0 97.2 98.5
Retail Sales +0.4 +0.8% +0.4% +0.5% +0.4% +1.8%
excl motor
vehicles 0.0 +1.0% +0.3% +0.5% +0.6% +1.4%
Personal Income +0.1% +0.4% +0.4% +0.4% +0.4%
Personal Spending +0.6% +0.3% +0.5% +0.6% +1.0%
ISM Mfg Index 49.1 51.2 51.7 52.1 52.8 55.3
ISM Nonmfg NMI 53.7 55.1 56.9 55.5 56.1
MNI Chicago
Report 50.4 44.4 49.7 54.2 52.6 58.7
Phila Fed Mfg
Index 16.8 21.8 0.3 16.6 8.5 13.7
Phila Fed Nonmfg
Index 7.5 21.4 8.2 17.3 21.0 21.7
Empire State
Index 2.0 4.8 4.3 -8.6 17.8 10.1 3.7
KC Fed Mfg Index -6 -1 0 4 5 10
Richmond Fed Mfg
Index 1 -12 2 7 9 10
Dallas Fed Mfg
Index 17.9 -6.3 -12.1 -5.3 2.0 6.9
Markit Mfg Index 49.9 50.4 50.6 50.5 52.4 52.4
Markit Services
Index 53.0 53.0 51.5 50.9 53.0 55.3
Ind Production +0.6% -0.1% +0.1% +0.2% -0.6% +0.1%
Capacity Util 77.9% 77.5% 77.8% 77.8% 77.7% 78.4%
Factory Orders +1.4 +0.6% -1.3% -1.2% +1.3%
Factory Orders ex
transport +0.3 +0.1% +0.0% +0.2% +0.1%
Durables +2.0% +1.8% -2.3% -2.8% +1.7%
Durables ex
transport -0.4% +0.8% +0.4% -0.2% -0.5%
Nondurables +0.8% -0.7% -0.3% +0.4% +0.9%
Mfg Shipments -0.2 +0.1 +0.1% -0.6% +0.2%
Business
Inventories +0.4 Flat +0.3% +0.5% Flat
Factory +0.2 +0.1% +0.2% +0.2% +0.4%
Retail -0.3% +0.3% +0.6% -0.3%
Wholesale +0.2 Flat +0.4% +0.8% Flat
Housing Starts
(mn) 1.364 1.191 1.241 1.264 1.270 1.199
Building Permits
(mn) 1.419 1.336 1.232 1.299 1.290 1.288
NAHB Index 66 65 64 66 63 62
New Home Sales
(k) 635 646 604 658 705
Existing Homes
(mn) 5.42 5.29 5.36 5.21 5.21
Pending Home
Sales Index 105.6 108.3 105.4 104.3 105.9
Construct
Spending 0.1 -0.7 -0.5% +0.9% +0.1%
Private
Residential 0.6 -0.5 Flat +0.9% -0.8%
Trade Balance
(bn) -$54.0 -$55.2 -$55.3 -$51.2 -$51.9
Exports (bn) $207.4 $206.3 $210.7 $206.4 $211.4
Imports (bn) $261.4 $261.5 $266.0 $257.6 $263.3
Goods Only, BOP
(bn) -$72.5 -$75.1 -$75.9 -$71.7 -$72.7
Leading Index +0.5% -0.1% -0.1% +0.1% +0.3%
Q2-19 Q1-19
GDP (chain-wt) +2.0% +3.1%
Final Sales +3.0% +2.6%
Chain prices +2.4% +1.1%
Current-dollar +4.6% +3.9%
Q2-19 Q1-19
Nonfarm
Productivity +2.3% +3.5%
Nonfarm Unit
Labor Costs +2.6% +5.5%
Q2-19 Q1-19
ECI (q/q) +0.6% +0.7%
--MNI Washington Bureau; +1 202 371 2121; email: alexandra.kelley@marketnews.com
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.