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MNI EXCLUSIVE

Fed Exclusive on the SLR

SWITZERLAND

CHF LIBOR FIX - 04-03-2021

EUROZONE

EUR LIBOR FIX - 04-03-2021

JAPAN

JPY LIBOR FIX - 04-03-2021

US 10YR FUTURE TECHS

‌‌(M1)‌‌ Bearish Risk Remains Present

US Economic Data Calendar

--Rating: *** most market sensitive, * least market sensitive
     
Date    ET                                                    Prior  Est.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
01-Mar  -   *** Feb    NA-made light vehicle sales SAAR         7.1    -- m 
01-Mar 0830 **  Jan    personal income                          0.2   0.3   %
01-Mar 0830 **  Dec    current dollar PCE                       0.4  -0.1   %
01-Mar 0830 **  Dec    total PCE price index                    0.2    --   %
01-Mar 0830 **  Dec    core PCE price index                     0.1   0.2   %
01-Mar 0945 *** Feb    Markit Mfg Index (final)                53.7    --
01-Mar 1000 *** Mar    Michigan sentiment index (f)           110.0  95.8
01-Mar 1000 *** Feb    ISM Manufacturing Index                 56.6  55.5
01-Mar 1100 **  Q1     St. Louis Fed Real GDP Nowcast          2.47    --   %
01-Mar 1115 **  Q1     NY Fed GDP Nowcast                      1.20    --   %
 
04-Mar 0945 *   Feb    ISM-NY current conditions               63.4    --
04-Mar 1000 *   Dec    construction spending                    0.8    --   %
 
05-Mar 0855 **  02-Mar Redbook retail sales m/m                -1.4    --   %
05-Mar 0900 *   Feb    bldg permits revision                     --    -- m 
05-Mar 0945 *** Feb    Markit Services Index (final)           56.2    --
05-Mar 1000 *** Dec    new home sales                         0.657    -- m 
05-Mar 1000 *** Feb    ISM Non-manufacturing Index             56.7    --
05-Mar 1000 **  Mar    IBD/TIPP Optimism Index                 50.3    --
05-Mar 1400 **  Feb    Treasury budget balance                -13.5    -- b USD
 
06-Mar 0700 **  01-Mar MBA Mortgage Applications                5.3    --   %
06-Mar 0815 *** Feb    ADP private payrolls                     213    -- k 
06-Mar 0830 **  Dec    trade balance                          -49.3    -- b USD
06-Mar 1000 *   Mar    help-wanted online ratio                  --    --
06-Mar 1030 **  01-Mar crude oil stocks ex. SPR w/w           -8.65    -- m bbl
06-Mar 1500 *   Feb    Treasury STRIPS Holdings                  --    -- b USD
 
07-Mar 0730 *   Feb    challenger layoff plans                 18.6    --   %
07-Mar 0830 **  02-Mar jobless claims                           225    -- k 
07-Mar 0830 **  Q4     non-farm productivity (f)                2.3    --   %
07-Mar 0830 **  Q4     unit labor costs (f)                     0.9    --   %
07-Mar 1030 **  01-Mar natural gas stocks w/w                  -166    --   Bcf
07-Mar 1500 *   Jan    consumer credit                         16.6    -- b USD
07-Mar 1630 **  06-Mar Fed weekly securities holdings            --    -- t USD
 
08-Mar 0830 *** Feb    nonfarm payrolls                         304    -- k 
08-Mar 0830 *** Feb    private payrolls                         296    -- k 
08-Mar 0830 *** Feb    unemployment rate                        4.0    --   %
08-Mar 0830 *** Feb    average hourly earnings                  0.1    --   %
08-Mar 0830 *** Feb    average workweek, all workers           34.5    --   hrs
08-Mar 0830 *** Jan    housing starts                         1.078    -- m 
08-Mar 0830 *** Jan    building permits                       1.326    -- m 
08-Mar 1100 **  Q1     St. Louis Fed Real GDP Nowcast            --    --   %
08-Mar 1115 **  Q1     NY Fed GDP Nowcast                        --    --   %
 
11-Mar 0830 *** Jan    retail sales                            -1.2    --   %
11-Mar 0830 *** Jan    retail sales ex. motor vehicle          -1.8    --   %
11-Mar 0830 *** Jan    retail sales ex. mtr veh, gas           -1.4    --   %
11-Mar 1000 *   Dec    business inventories                    -0.1    --   %
11-Mar 1000 *   Feb    ETI                                    109.6    --
11-Mar 1000 *   Feb    BLS state payrolls                        --    -- k 
11-Mar 1100 **  Mar    NY Fed expectations survey                --    --
 
12-Mar 0600 **  Feb    NFIB Small Business Index              101.2    --
12-Mar 0830 *** Feb    CPI                                      0.0    --   %
12-Mar 0830 *** Feb    CPI Ex Food and Energy                   0.2    --   %
12-Mar 0855 **  09-Mar Redbook retail sales m/m                  --    --   %
 
13-Mar 0700 **  08-Mar MBA Mortgage Applications                 --    --   %
13-Mar 0830 *** Feb    Final Demand PPI                        -0.1    --   %
13-Mar 0830 *** Feb    PPI ex. food and energy                  0.3    --   %
13-Mar 0830 *** Feb    PPI ex. food, energy, trade              0.2    --   %
13-Mar 0830 **  Jan    durable goods new orders                 1.2    --   %
13-Mar 0830 **  Jan    durable new orders ex transport          0.1    --   %
13-Mar 1000 **  Mar    Atlanta Fed inflation                     --    --   %
13-Mar 1000 *   Jan    construction spending                     --    --   %
13-Mar 1030 **  08-Mar crude oil stocks ex. SPR w/w              --    -- m bbl
 
14-Mar 0830 **  09-Mar jobless claims                            --    -- k 
14-Mar 0830 **  Feb    imports price index                     -0.5    --   %
14-Mar 0830 **  Feb    exports price index                     -0.6    --   %
14-Mar 1000 *** Jan    new home sales                            --    -- m 
14-Mar 1030 **  08-Mar natural gas stocks w/w                    --    --   Bcf
14-Mar 1630 **  13-Mar Fed weekly securities holdings            --    -- t USD
 
15-Mar 0830 **  Mar    Empire Manufacturing Index               8.8    --
15-Mar 0915 *** Feb    industrial production                   -0.6    --   %
15-Mar 0915 *** Feb    capacity utilization                    78.2    --   %
15-Mar 1000 *** Mar    Michigan sentiment index (p)              --    --
15-Mar 1000 **  Jan    JOLTS job openings level                7335    -- k 
15-Mar 1000 **  Jan    JOLTS quits rate                         2.3    --   %
15-Mar 1100 **  Q1     St. Louis Fed Real GDP Nowcast            --    --   %
15-Mar 1115 **  Q1     NY Fed GDP Nowcast                        --    --   %
15-Mar 1600 **  Jan    net TICS flows                            --    -- b USD
15-Mar 1600 **  Jan    long term TICS flows                      --    -- b USD
 
18-Mar 0830 **  Mar    NY Fed Business Leaders Index           13.7    --
18-Mar 1000 **  Mar    NAHB home builder index                 62.0    --
18-Mar 1100 **  Feb    Kansas City Fed LMCI                    0.97    --
 
19-Mar 0855 **  16-Mar Redbook retail sales m/m                  --    --   %
19-Mar 1000 **  Jan    factory new orders                       0.1    --   %
19-Mar 1000 **  Jan    factory orders ex transport             -0.6    --   %
 
20-Mar 0700 **  15-Mar MBA Mortgage Applications                 --    --   %
20-Mar 1030 **  15-Mar crude oil stocks ex. SPR w/w              --    -- m bbl
 
21-Mar 0830 **  16-Mar jobless claims                            --    -- k 
21-Mar 0830 **  Mar    Philadelphia Fed Mfg Index              -4.1    --
21-Mar 1000 *   Q4     Service Revenue                           --    --   %
21-Mar 1000 **  Feb    leading indicators                      -0.1    --   %
21-Mar 1030 **  15-Mar natural gas stocks w/w                    --    --   Bcf
21-Mar 1630 **  20-Mar Fed weekly securities holdings            --    -- t USD
 
22-Mar 0945 *** Mar    Markit Mfg Index (flash)                  --    --
22-Mar 0945 *** Mar    Markit Services Index (flash)             --    --
22-Mar 1000 *** Feb    existing home sales                     4.94    -- m 
22-Mar 1000 *   Feb    BLS state payrolls                        --    -- k 
22-Mar 1000 **  Jan    wholesale inventories                    1.1    --   %
22-Mar 1000 **  Jan    wholesale sales                         -1.0    --   %
22-Mar 1100 **  Q1     St. Louis Fed Real GDP Nowcast            --    --   %
22-Mar 1115 **  Q1     NY Fed GDP Nowcast                        --    --   %
22-Mar 1400 **  Feb    Treasury budget balance                   --    -- b USD
 
25-Mar 0900 *   Feb    bldg permits revision                     --    -- m 
25-Mar 1030 **  Mar    Dallas Fed manufacturing index          13.1    --
 
26-Mar 0830 *** Feb    housing starts                            --    -- m 
26-Mar 0830 *** Feb    building permits                          --    -- m 
26-Mar 0830 **  Mar    Philadelphia Fed Nonmfg Index           10.0    --
26-Mar 0855 **  23-Mar Redbook retail sales m/m                  --    --   %
26-Mar 0900 **  Jan    FHFA Home Price Index                    0.3    --   %
26-Mar 0900 **  Jan    Case-Shiller Home Price Index           -0.2    --
26-Mar 1000 **  Mar    Richmond Fed Mfg Index                    16    --
26-Mar 1000 *** Mar    Conference Board confidence            131.4    --
26-Mar 1030 **  Mar    Dallas Fed services index                2.0    --
 
27-Mar 0700 **  22-Mar MBA Mortgage Applications                 --    --   %
27-Mar 0830 *   Q4     current account balance                -124.8   -- b USD
27-Mar 0830 **  Jan    trade balance                             --    -- b USD
27-Mar 1030 **  22-Mar crude oil stocks ex. SPR w/w              --    -- m bbl
 
 
 
--MNI Washington Bureau; +1 (973) 494-2611; email: harrison.clarke@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE,M$U$$$]