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US: Recap of Economic Indicators

                           Jul-18   Jun-18     May-18   Apr-18   Mar-18   Feb-18
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
UI Claims/4wk avg
wk 1                      214/223  222/226    211/216  233/230  230/225  223/228
wk 2                               221/225    223/214  233/232  226/223  234/230
wk 3                               218/221    234/220  209/229  227/225  218/227
wk 4                               228/222    223/223  211/222  218/225  217/223
wk 5                               232/225                      242/228
Nonfarm Payrolls                     +213k      +244k    +175k    +155k    +324k
Private Payrolls                     +202k      +239k    +174k    +153k    +321k
Mfg Payroll                           +36k       +19k     +28k     +21k     +31k
Unemployment                          4.0%       3.8%     3.9%     4.1%     4.1%
Avg Wkly Hours                        34.5       34.5     34.5     34.5     34.5
Avg Hours - Mfg                       40.9       40.8     41.0     40.9     41.0
Aggr Hours Index                     +0.2%      +0.2%    +0.1%    +0.2%    +0.6%
Aggr Hrs Index - Mfg                 +0.4%      -0.3%    +0.5%    -0.1%    +1.0%
Avg Hourly Earnings                  +0.2%      +0.3%    +0.2%    +0.2%    +0.1%
Final Demand PPI                     +0.3%      +0.5%    +0.1%    +0.3%    +0.2%
excl food & energy                   +0.3%      +0.3%    +0.2%    +0.3%    +0.2%
excl food, energy, trade             +0.3%      +0.1%    +0.1%    +0.4%    +0.4%
CPI                                  +0.1%      +0.2%    +0.2%    -0.1%    +0.2%
excl food & energy                   +0.2%      +0.2%    +0.1%    +0.2%    +0.2%
Import Prices                        -0.4%      +0.6%    +0.6%    -0.2%    +0.2%
non-petro import prices              -0.3%      +0.1%    +0.1%     Flat    +0.4%
ISM Mfg Prices Pd Index               76.8       79.5     79.3     78.1     74.2
PCE Price Index M/M                             +0.2%    +0.2%     Flat    +0.1%
PCE Price Index Y/Y                             +2.3%    +2.0%    +2.0%    +1.7%
Core PCE Price Index M/M                        +0.2%    +0.2%    +0.2%    +0.2%
Core PCE Price Index Y/Y                        +2.0%    +1.8%    +1.8%    +1.5%
Treasury Budget (bn)                 -74.9    -$146.8  +$214.3  -$208.7  -$215.2
Consumer Credit (bn)                           +$24.5   +$10.2    +$8.7   +$11.9
CB Consumer Confidence               126.4      128.8    125.6    127.0    130.0
Consumer Sentiment                    99.3       98.0     98.8    101.4     99.7
Car Sales (Ex GM), saar
(mn)                                   3.1        3.0      3.1      3.2      3.3
Truck Sales (Ex GM),
Saar (mn)                              7.2        6.9      6.9      7.0      6.7
Total (Ex GM), saar (mn)              10.3        9.9     10.0     10.2     10.0
Retail Sales                                    +0.8%    +0.4%    +0.7%    +0.1%
excl motor vehicles                             +0.9%    +0.4%    +0.4%    +0.4%
Personal Income                                 +0.4%    +0.2%    +0.3%    +0.4%
Personal Spending                               +0.2%    +0.5%    +0.6%    -0.1%
ISM Mfg Index                         60.2       58.7     57.3     59.3     60.8
ISM Nonmfg NMI                        59.1       58.6     56.8     58.8     59.5
MNI Chicago Report                    64.1       62.7     57.6     57.4     61.9
Phila Fed Mfg Index                   19.9       34.4     23.2     22.3     25.8
Phila Fed Nonmfg Index                39.1       45.3     27.6     30.1     31.0
Empire State Index                    25.0       20.1     15.8     22.5     13.1
KC Fed Mfg Index                        28         29       26       17       17
Richmond Fed Mfg Index                  20         16       -3       15       28
Dallas Fed Mfg Index                  36.5       26.8     21.8     22.8     38.4
Markit Mfg Index                      54.6       56.4     56.5     55.6     55.3
Markit Services Index                 56.5       56.8     54.6     54.0     55.9
Ind Production                                  -0.1%    +0.9%    +0.5%    +0.4%
Capacity Util                                   77.9%    78.1%    77.5%    77.2%
Factory Orders                                  +0.4%    -0.4%    +1.7%    +2.0%
Factory Orders ex
transport                                       +0.7%    +0.9%    +0.5%    +0.3%
Durables                                        -0.4%    -1.0%    +2.7%    +4.5%
Durables ex transport                            Flat    +1.9%    +0.5%    +1.3%
Nondurables                                     +1.1%    +0.3%    +0.6%    -0.3%
Mfg Shipments                                   +0.6%    +0.1%    +0.7%    +0.3%
Business Inventories                                     +0.3%    -0.1%    +0.6%
Factory                                         +0.2%    +0.4%    +0.2%    +0.3%
Retail                                      +0.4% (a)    +0.5%    -0.7%      +.6
Wholesale                                       +0.6%    +0.1%    +0.2%    +0.8%
Housing Starts (mn)                             1.350    1.286    1.327     1.29
Building Permits (mn)                           1.301    1.364    1.377    1.323
NAHB Index                              68         70       68       70       71
New Home Sales (k)                                689      646      671      659
Existing Homes (mn)                              5.43     5.45     5.60     5.54
Pending Home Sales Index                        105.9    106.4    107.6    107.2
Construct Spending                              +0.4%    +0.9%    -0.9%    +2.3%
Private Residential                             +0.8%    +0.5%    -2.4%    +3.4%
Trade Balance (bn)                             -$43.1   -$46.1   -$47.2   -$55.5
Exports (bn)                                  +$215.3  +$211.2  +$210.7  +$206.1
Imports (bn)                                  +$258.3  +$257.3  +$257.9  +$261.6
Goods Only, BOP (bn)                           -$65.7   -$68.3   -$69.3   -$76.7
Leading Index                                   +0.2%    +0.4%    +0.4%    +0.7%
                                                         Q1-18    Q4-17    Q3-17
GDP (chain-wt)                                           +2.0%    +2.9%    +3.2%
Final Sales                                              +2.0%    +3.4%    +2.4%
Chain prices                                             +2.2%    +2.3%    +2.1%
Current-dollar                                           +4.2%    +5.3%    +5.3%
                                                         Q1-18    Q4-17    Q3-17
Nonfarm Productivity                                     +0.4%    +0.3%    +2.6%
Nonfarm Unit Labor Costs                                 +2.9%    +2.1%    +1.0%
                                                         Q1-18    Q4-17    Q3-17
ECI (q/q)                                                +0.8%    +0.6%    +0.7%
(a) advance report
--MNI Washington Bureau; +1 (973) 494-2611; email: harrison.clarke@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE,MAUDT$,M$U$$$]

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