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US: Recap of Economic Indicators

                           Aug-18     Jul-18   Jun-18   May-18   Apr-18   Mar-18
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
UI Claims/4wk avg
wk 1                      214/214    215/223  222/226  211/216  233/230  230/225
wk 2                      212/216    208/221  221/225  223/214  233/232  226/223
wk 3                      210/214    217/218  218/221  234/220  209/229  227/225
wk 4                      213/212    219/214  228/222  223/223  211/222  218/225
wk 5                                          232/225                    242/228
Nonfarm Payrolls                       +157k    +248k    +244k    +175k    +155k
Private Payrolls                       +170k    +234k    +239k    +174k    +153k
Mfg Payroll                             +37k     +33k     +19k     +28k     +21k
Unemployment                            3.9%     4.0%     3.8%     3.9%     4.1%
Avg Wkly Hours                          34.5     34.6     34.5     34.5     34.5
Avg Hours - Mfg                         40.9     40.9     40.8     41.0     40.9
Aggr Hours Index                       -0.2%    +0.5%    +0.2%    +0.1%    +0.2%
Aggr Hrs Index - Mfg                   +0.2%    +0.4%    -0.3%    +0.5%    -0.1%
Avg Hourly Earnings                    +0.3%    +0.2%    +0.3%    +0.2%    +0.2%
Final Demand PPI                        Flat    +0.3%    +0.5%    +0.1%    +0.3%
excl food & energy                     +0.1%    +0.3%    +0.3%    +0.2%    +0.3%
excl food, energy, trade               +0.3%    +0.3%    +0.1%    +0.1%    +0.4%
CPI                                    +0.2%    +0.1%    +0.2%    +0.2%    -0.1%
excl food & energy                     +0.2%    +0.2%    +0.2%    +0.1%    +0.2%
Import Prices                                   -0.4%    +0.6%    +0.6%    -0.2%
non-petro import prices                         -0.3%    +0.1%    +0.1%     Flat
ISM Mfg Prices Pd Index                 73.2     76.8     79.5     79.3     78.1
PCE Price Index M/M                    +0.1%    +0.1%    +0.2%    +0.2%    +0.1%
PCE Price Index Y/Y                    +2.3%    +2.2%    +2.2%    +2.0%    +2.1%
Core PCE Price Index M/M               +0.2%    +0.1%    +0.2%    +0.2%    +0.2%
Core PCE Price Index Y/Y               +2.0%    +1.9%    +2.0%    +1.9%    +2.0%
Treasury Budget (bn)                  -$76.9   -$74.9  -$146.8  +$214.3  -$208.7
Consumer Credit (bn)                           +$10.2   +$24.3   +$10.2    +$8.7
CB Consumer Confidence      133.4      127.9    126.4    128.8    125.6    127.0
Consumer Sentiment           96.2       97.6     98.2     98.0     98.8    101.4
Car Sales (Ex GM), saar
(mn)                                     3.0      3.1      3.0      3.1      3.2
Truck Sales (Ex GM),
Saar (mn)                                6.9      7.2      6.9      6.9      7.0
Total (Ex GM), saar (mn)                 9.9     10.3      9.9     10.0     10.2
Retail Sales                           +0.5%    +0.2%    +0.8%    +0.4%    +0.7%
excl motor vehicles                    +0.6%    +0.2%    +0.9%    +0.4%    +0.4%
Personal Income                        +0.3%    +0.4%    +0.3%    +0.3%    +0.4%
Personal Spending                      +0.4%    +0.4%    +0.5%    +0.5%    +0.6%
ISM Mfg Index                61.3       58.1     60.2     58.7     57.3     59.3
ISM Nonmfg NMI                          55.7     59.1     58.6     56.8     58.8
MNI Chicago Report           63.6       65.5     64.1     62.7     57.6     57.4
Phila Fed Mfg Index          11.9       25.7     19.9     34.4     23.2     22.3
Phila Fed Nonmfg Index       41.7       44.3     39.1     45.3     27.6     30.1
Empire State Index           25.6       22.6     25.0     20.1     15.8     22.5
KC Fed Mfg Index               14         23       28       29       26       17
Richmond Fed Mfg Index         24         20       21       16       -3       15
Dallas Fed Mfg Index         30.9       32.3     36.5     26.8     21.8     22.8
Markit Mfg Index             54.5       55.3     55.4     56.4     56.5     55.6
Markit Services Index        55.2       56.0     56.5     56.8     54.6     54.0
Ind Production                         +0.1%    +0.6%    -0.5%    +1.1%    +0.5%
Capacity Util                          78.1%      78%    77.7%    78.2%    77.5%
Factory Orders                                  +0.7%    +0.4%    -0.4%    +1.7%
Factory Orders ex
transport                                       +0.4%    +0.7%    +0.9%    +0.5%
Durables                               -1.7%    +0.7%    -0.4%    -1.0%    +2.7%
Durables ex transport                  +0.2%    +0.1%     Flat    +1.9%    +0.5%
Nondurables                                     +0.5%    +1.1%    +0.3%    +0.6%
Mfg Shipments                                   +1.0%    +0.6%    +0.1%    +0.7%
Business Inventories                            +0.1%    +0.3%    +0.3%    -0.1%
Factory                                         +0.1%    +0.2%    +0.4%    +0.2%
Retail                             +0.4% (a)    +0.1%    +0.4%    +0.4%    -0.7%
Wholesale                          +0.7% (a)    +0.1%    +0.3%    +0.1%    +0.2%
Housing Starts (mn)                    1.168    1.158    1.329    1.276    1.327
Building Permits (mn)                  1.303    1.292    1.301    1.364    1.377
NAHB Index                                68       68       70       68       70
New Home Sales (k)                       627      638      654      633      672
Existing Homes (mn)                     5.34     5.38     5.41     5.45     5.60
Pending Home Sales Index               106.2    106.9    105.9    106.4    107.6
Construct Spending                     +0.1%    -0.8%    +0.7%    +1.7%    -0.9%
Private Residential                    +0.6%    -0.9%    -0.3%     3.1%    -2.4%
Trade Balance (bn)                             -$46.3   -$43.2   -$46.1   -$47.2
Exports (bn)                                  +$213.8  +$215.3  +$211.2  +$210.7
Imports (bn)                                  +$260.2  +$258.3  +$257.3  +$257.9
Goods Only, BOP (bn)                           -$68.8   -$65.7   -$68.3   -$69.3
Leading Index                          +0.6%    +0.5%    +0.1%    +0.4%    +0.4%
                                                         Q2-18    Q1-18    Q4-17
GDP (chain-wt)                                           +4.2%    +2.2%    +2.3%
Final Sales                                              +5.3%    +1.9%    +3.2%
Chain prices                                             +3.0%    +2.0%    +2.5%
Current-dollar                                           +7.6%    +4.3%    +5.1%
                                                         Q2-18    Q1-18    Q4-17
Nonfarm Productivity                                     +2.9%    +0.3%    +0.3%
Nonfarm Unit Labor Costs                                 -0.9%    +3.4%    +2.1%
                                                         Q2-18    Q1-18    Q4-17
ECI (q/q)                                                +0.6%    +0.8%    +0.6%
(a) advance report
--MNI Washington Bureau; +1 (973) 494-2611; email: harrison.clarke@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE,MAUDT$,M$U$$$]

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