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USD Index Position Drifts Closer to Net Neutral

CFTC
  • Friday's CFTC FX positioning update showed antipodean and commodity-tied currencies benefiting from a build in the net position, while the sliding position in the USD Index stuck, putting markets nearest to neutral since '21.
  • The pullback in the USD Index net position extended in last week's data, tipping the total net non-commercial futures position to the lowest since mid-2021. The shift in late Dec reversed the brief build in positioning from September, and follows the dovish pivot from the Fed on Dec13.
  • Net shorts in AUD, NZD and CAD were most notably trimmed, leaving the net short at 27.3% for AUD, 11.5% for CAD and broadly flat for NZD.
  • The EUR net position was unchanged, at a net long of 119,476 contracts - much improved from the 52w low from October last year, however still short of the trailing 12m average.
  • Both the JPY and CHF saw the net position deteriorate over the past week, keeping markets net short both currencies.


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