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USD/RUB: Key Technical Break at 72.50 Spurs More RUB Longs

RUSSIA
  • USD/RUB opens firmly lower, having taken out key lateral support at 72.50 in yesterday's session supported by upside in oil markets and hawkish CBR bets.
  • Brent trades in the green this morning, back above $72.50 as concerns of returning Iranian supply faded with Blinken saying sanctions against Tehran were unlikely to be lifted.
  • Additionally, improved demand-side outlooks continue to buoy oil markets as vaccine rollouts gain pace globally.
  • The technical break at 72.50 is a significant one, opening up support levels in the 70-72 range for a more consolidated move lower towards the 10 March 2020 breakout gap at 70.6878.
  • This should add bullish momentum to RUB in the near-term, with sell-side noting the addition of RUB longs following the break below 72.50.
  • However, with price action now in oversold territory on the daily and leading up to the Biden-Putin meeting, a number of tail risks remain.
  • Sup1: 71.6625, Sup2: 71.4168, Res1: 72.5385, Res2: 72.7940


MNI London Bureau | +44 020-3983-7894 | murray.nichol@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 020-3983-7894 | murray.nichol@marketnews.com

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