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USD/ZAR Ticks Higher as Markets Brace for Hawkish FOMC

SOUTH AFRICA
  • USD/ZAR trades +0.14% higher this morning, treading water ahead of key CPI/PPI data and a vital Fed meeting later this evening.
  • PPI is set to take a notable leg higher to 8.7% y/y, while median consensus sees 5.5% y/y in headline CPI.
  • Here, a firmer print brings us closer to the upper end of the SARB’s 3-6% target range, which will be of concern to the SARB, despite expectations for more balanced inflation in 2022.
  • This combined with a weaker ZAR should continue to keep the bank cautious and playing catch-up to the expected Fed tightening cycle.
  • however, the bank signalled its intentions to keep increases gradual in the prior meeting, given the fragility of the domestic recovery.
  • USD/ZAR drifted higher in yesterday’s session in line with BBDXY price action as markets brace for a hawkish FOMC ahead of tapering and dot plot tweaks.
  • Intraday Sup1: 16.0373, Sup2: 15.9742, Sup3: 15.888, Res1: 16.1717, res2: 16.2383, Res3: 16.3668
  • 3x6 FRA-Jibar Spread


MNI London Bureau | +44 020-3983-7894 | murray.nichol@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 020-3983-7894 | murray.nichol@marketnews.com

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