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USDBRL Continues To Consolidate Despite Greenback Recovery

BRAZIL
  • USDBRL is consolidating above support at 5.1070, the Sep 22 low. A break of this level would cancel the recent bullish theme and instead signal scope for a deeper pullback towards 5.0108 initially, the Sep 29 / 30 low. Resistance levels of note are 5.30 and 5.4286, the Sep 29 high as markets continue to digest the potential scenarios as we approach the October 30 election runoff.
  • Data for the general price index that measures a broader range of Brazilian inflation than the consumer price index was released this morning and showed a greater deceleration that consensus expected:
    • Brazil sept. IGP-DI inflation falls 1.22% M/m; est. -0.84%
    • Brazil sept. IGP-DI inflation rises 7.94% Y/y; est. +8.34%
  • Today, the treasury auctions fixed-rate NTN-F local notes due 2029 and 2033 and fixed-rate LTN local notes due 2023, 2024 and 2026.

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