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USDCAD Almost Back To Pre-CPI Levels

CANADA
  • USDCAD has now declined 35 pips off post-CPI highs of 1.3614, leaving it only ~10 pips higher than pre-CPI levels.
  • The decline comes despite 2Y GoC yields still 11bp lower since the data and the Can-US 2Y differential 9bps lower at -53bps.
  • Its offset by e-minis lifting off lows and WTI finding renewed upward pressure.
  • The earlier lift in the pair cleared the bull trigger at 1.3606 (Feb 28 high) and has opened 1.3623 (61.8% retrace of Nov 1 – Dec 27 bear leg).
  • Tomorrow sees $497m expiring at 1.3600, plus $496m at 1.3515 and $351m at 1.3505 prior to the FOMC decision.

Source: Bloomberg

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